**Settlement negotiations between Paramount Skydance and state attorneys general represent the main catalyst supporting the 82.8% market-implied probability of closing by year-end 2026.** After the July 2026 antitrust lawsuit from 12 states paused the $111 billion Warner Bros. Discovery deal—following DOJ clearance, shareholder approval, and approvals in dozens of other jurisdictions—Paramount agreed to delay closing until after a merits trial or June 2027. Recent progress in talks, including potential concessions on CNN oversight and theatrical release commitments, combined with the $7 million daily ticking fee starting October 1, has accelerated momentum toward resolution. FCC foreign-ownership approval and Paramount's integration planning further bolster trader confidence that the state-level hurdle can be cleared in time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
83% chance
$154,350 Vol.
$154,350 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
83% chance
$154,350 Vol.
$154,350 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.**Settlement negotiations between Paramount Skydance and state attorneys general represent the main catalyst supporting the 82.8% market-implied probability of closing by year-end 2026.** After the July 2026 antitrust lawsuit from 12 states paused the $111 billion Warner Bros. Discovery deal—following DOJ clearance, shareholder approval, and approvals in dozens of other jurisdictions—Paramount agreed to delay closing until after a merits trial or June 2027. Recent progress in talks, including potential concessions on CNN oversight and theatrical release commitments, combined with the $7 million daily ticking fee starting October 1, has accelerated momentum toward resolution. FCC foreign-ownership approval and Paramount's integration planning further bolster trader confidence that the state-level hurdle can be cleared in time.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$154,350Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.**Settlement negotiations between Paramount Skydance and state attorneys general represent the main catalyst supporting the 82.8% market-implied probability of closing by year-end 2026.** After the July 2026 antitrust lawsuit from 12 states paused the $111 billion Warner Bros. Discovery deal—following DOJ clearance, shareholder approval, and approvals in dozens of other jurisdictions—Paramount agreed to delay closing until after a merits trial or June 2027. Recent progress in talks, including potential concessions on CNN oversight and theatrical release commitments, combined with the $7 million daily ticking fee starting October 1, has accelerated momentum toward resolution. FCC foreign-ownership approval and Paramount's integration planning further bolster trader confidence that the state-level hurdle can be cleared in time.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Volume
$154,350Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**Settlement negotiations between Paramount Skydance and state attorneys general represent the main catalyst supporting the 82.8% market-implied probability of closing by year-end 2026.** After the July 2026 antitrust lawsuit from 12 states paused the $111 billion Warner Bros. Discovery deal—following DOJ clearance, shareholder approval, and approvals in dozens of other jurisdictions—Paramount agreed to delay closing until after a merits trial or June 2027. Recent progress in talks, including potential concessions on CNN oversight and theatrical release commitments, combined with the $7 million daily ticking fee starting October 1, has accelerated momentum toward resolution. FCC foreign-ownership approval and Paramount's integration planning further bolster trader confidence that the state-level hurdle can be cleared in time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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