Spain enters Group H as the clear favorite to finish first given its superior squad depth, recent Nations League success, and historical consistency in major tournaments, leaving second place as a tight contest primarily between Uruguay and the remaining sides. Uruguay’s blend of experienced veterans, strong CONMEBOL qualifying form, and favorable early schedule positioning underpins its 57% implied probability, while Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde trail due to thinner attacking options and limited recent high-level results. The bunched probabilities around 50% for the next tier reflect the group’s balanced schedule—Spain vs. Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay open on June 15—where a single result could shift momentum in the three remaining fixtures through June 26. Traders price in realistic upset potential from organized defenses or set-piece threats while recognizing Spain’s expected nine-point haul.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUruguay 57%
Saudi Arabia 15%
Spain 13%
Cape Verde 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 juil. 2026
Spain
13%
Uruguay
57%
Saudi Arabia
15%
Cape Verde
12%
Uruguay 57%
Saudi Arabia 15%
Spain 13%
Cape Verde 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 juil. 2026
Spain
$74 Vol.
13%
Uruguay
$981 Vol.
57%
Saudi Arabia
$10 Vol.
15%
Cape Verde
$459 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain enters Group H as the clear favorite to finish first given its superior squad depth, recent Nations League success, and historical consistency in major tournaments, leaving second place as a tight contest primarily between Uruguay and the remaining sides. Uruguay’s blend of experienced veterans, strong CONMEBOL qualifying form, and favorable early schedule positioning underpins its 57% implied probability, while Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde trail due to thinner attacking options and limited recent high-level results. The bunched probabilities around 50% for the next tier reflect the group’s balanced schedule—Spain vs. Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay open on June 15—where a single result could shift momentum in the three remaining fixtures through June 26. Traders price in realistic upset potential from organized defenses or set-piece threats while recognizing Spain’s expected nine-point haul.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 5, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,523Date de fin
12 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain enters Group H as the clear favorite to finish first given its superior squad depth, recent Nations League success, and historical consistency in major tournaments, leaving second place as a tight contest primarily between Uruguay and the remaining sides. Uruguay’s blend of experienced veterans, strong CONMEBOL qualifying form, and favorable early schedule positioning underpins its 57% implied probability, while Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde trail due to thinner attacking options and limited recent high-level results. The bunched probabilities around 50% for the next tier reflect the group’s balanced schedule—Spain vs. Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay open on June 15—where a single result could shift momentum in the three remaining fixtures through June 26. Traders price in realistic upset potential from organized defenses or set-piece threats while recognizing Spain’s expected nine-point haul.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,523Date de fin
12 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spain enters Group H as the clear favorite to finish first given its superior squad depth, recent Nations League success, and historical consistency in major tournaments, leaving second place as a tight contest primarily between Uruguay and the remaining sides. Uruguay’s blend of experienced veterans, strong CONMEBOL qualifying form, and favorable early schedule positioning underpins its 57% implied probability, while Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde trail due to thinner attacking options and limited recent high-level results. The bunched probabilities around 50% for the next tier reflect the group’s balanced schedule—Spain vs. Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay open on June 15—where a single result could shift momentum in the three remaining fixtures through June 26. Traders price in realistic upset potential from organized defenses or set-piece threats while recognizing Spain’s expected nine-point haul.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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