Spain and France currently anchor the top of 2026 World Cup winner odds at roughly +450 to +500, ahead of England, Argentina, and Brazil, which directly elevates the implied probabilities for their groups in this market. Group I benefits from France’s elite depth and recent form, while Group H gains from Spain’s Euro 2024 momentum and squad talent led by young stars. Argentina’s Group J and England’s Group L follow closely but trail slightly in consensus pricing. With the expanded 48-team format and group stage opening in mid-June, traders price these four European-heavy groups highest because they contain the clearest paths to deep runs and title contention, leaving the remaining probability dispersed across the other eight groups and reflected in the 50% “Other” share.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGroup H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia) 18%
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq) 18%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama) 15%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria) 13%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)
18%
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)
18%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama)
15%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)
13%
Group E (Curaçao, Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast)
12%
Group K (Colombia, Congo DR, Portugal, Uzbekistan)
11%
Group C (Scotland, Brazil, Haiti, Morocco)
9%
Group F (Tunisia, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden)
8%
Group D (Paraguay, Türkiye, USA, Australia)
6%
Group G (New Zealand, Iran, Egypt, Belgium)
6%
Group A (Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia)
5%
Group B (Canada, Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland)
5%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia) 18%
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq) 18%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama) 15%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria) 13%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)
18%
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)
18%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama)
15%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)
13%
Group E (Curaçao, Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast)
12%
Group K (Colombia, Congo DR, Portugal, Uzbekistan)
11%
Group C (Scotland, Brazil, Haiti, Morocco)
9%
Group F (Tunisia, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden)
8%
Group D (Paraguay, Türkiye, USA, Australia)
6%
Group G (New Zealand, Iran, Egypt, Belgium)
6%
Group A (Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia)
5%
Group B (Canada, Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland)
5%
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 5, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spain and France currently anchor the top of 2026 World Cup winner odds at roughly +450 to +500, ahead of England, Argentina, and Brazil, which directly elevates the implied probabilities for their groups in this market. Group I benefits from France’s elite depth and recent form, while Group H gains from Spain’s Euro 2024 momentum and squad talent led by young stars. Argentina’s Group J and England’s Group L follow closely but trail slightly in consensus pricing. With the expanded 48-team format and group stage opening in mid-June, traders price these four European-heavy groups highest because they contain the clearest paths to deep runs and title contention, leaving the remaining probability dispersed across the other eight groups and reflected in the 50% “Other” share.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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