The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team format creates 32 knockout-stage matches (round of 32 through final plus third-place game), all of which proceed to 30 minutes of extra time and then penalty shootouts if tied after 90 minutes—unlike group-stage games that end in regulation. This structure, combined with greater parity among 32 advancing sides and the high-stakes single-elimination pressure, historically produces 4–6 shootouts per tournament. Recent pre-tournament simulations and models highlight variables such as defensive tactics, squad rotation fatigue, and home-crowd effects in North American venues as key drivers that could push totals higher or lower depending on early knockout results. Traders monitor these dynamics closely as the group stage concludes and the round of 32 begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCoupe du monde : nombre de matchs décidés par tirs au but
1+ matches
96%
2+ matches
87%
3+ matches
83%
4+ matches
50%
5+ matches
82%
6+ matches
76%
7+ matches
68%
8+ matches
62%
9+ matches
49%
$62 Vol.
1+ matches
96%
2+ matches
87%
3+ matches
83%
4+ matches
50%
5+ matches
82%
6+ matches
76%
7+ matches
68%
8+ matches
62%
9+ matches
49%
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team format creates 32 knockout-stage matches (round of 32 through final plus third-place game), all of which proceed to 30 minutes of extra time and then penalty shootouts if tied after 90 minutes—unlike group-stage games that end in regulation. This structure, combined with greater parity among 32 advancing sides and the high-stakes single-elimination pressure, historically produces 4–6 shootouts per tournament. Recent pre-tournament simulations and models highlight variables such as defensive tactics, squad rotation fatigue, and home-crowd effects in North American venues as key drivers that could push totals higher or lower depending on early knockout results. Traders monitor these dynamics closely as the group stage concludes and the round of 32 begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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