Strong national teams such as Spain, Argentina, Brazil, Germany, England, and Portugal enter the 2026 FIFA World Cup with overwhelming trader consensus to reach the knockout stage, reflecting their superior squad depth, recent international results, and favorable group matchups. The expanded 48-team format—12 groups of four, with the top two plus the eight best third-placed sides advancing—further tilts probabilities toward established powers by reducing the risk of early elimination. Co-hosts Mexico, Canada, and the United States benefit from home support and relatively accessible groups, while upcoming opening fixtures on June 11 will immediately shape goal difference and points tallies that determine tiebreakers. Squad fitness, key player availability, and early form will drive rapid market adjustments once group stage play begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCoupe du monde : l'équipe se qualifie pour les phases éliminatoires
$1,525,070 Vol.
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
France
97%
England
96%
Germany
96%
Portugal
96%
Argentina
96%
Belgium
96%
Switzerland
94%
Mexico
92%
Netherlands
91%
Colombia
90%
Ecuador
88%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
83%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
79%
Japan
79%
Egypt
72%
Senegal
71%
South Korea
70%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Algeria
66%
Paraguay
64%
Sweden
63%
Iran
61%
Ghana
51%
Australia
46%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
37%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Panama
35%
Uzbekistan
32%
New Zealand
31%
Cape Verde
31%
Qatar
21%
Jordan
20%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
$1,525,070 Vol.
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
France
97%
England
96%
Germany
96%
Portugal
96%
Argentina
96%
Belgium
96%
Switzerland
94%
Mexico
92%
Netherlands
91%
Colombia
90%
Ecuador
88%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
83%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
79%
Japan
79%
Egypt
72%
Senegal
71%
South Korea
70%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Algeria
66%
Paraguay
64%
Sweden
63%
Iran
61%
Ghana
51%
Australia
46%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
37%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Panama
35%
Uzbekistan
32%
New Zealand
31%
Cape Verde
31%
Qatar
21%
Jordan
20%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Strong national teams such as Spain, Argentina, Brazil, Germany, England, and Portugal enter the 2026 FIFA World Cup with overwhelming trader consensus to reach the knockout stage, reflecting their superior squad depth, recent international results, and favorable group matchups. The expanded 48-team format—12 groups of four, with the top two plus the eight best third-placed sides advancing—further tilts probabilities toward established powers by reducing the risk of early elimination. Co-hosts Mexico, Canada, and the United States benefit from home support and relatively accessible groups, while upcoming opening fixtures on June 11 will immediately shape goal difference and points tallies that determine tiebreakers. Squad fitness, key player availability, and early form will drive rapid market adjustments once group stage play begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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