The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage opens with co-host Mexico facing South Africa and other opening fixtures across 12 groups of four, where the top two sides plus the eight best third-placed teams advance to the round of 32. Trader consensus on advancement probabilities reflects pre-tournament power rankings, squad depth, and historical results against similar opposition, with stronger European and South American sides holding clear edges in tougher groups. Recent roster finalizations and warm-up form have reinforced expectations for favorites, while host-nation advantages for Mexico, Canada, and the United States factor into early positioning. Upcoming matches over the next two weeks will clarify standings, with goal difference and results among third-placed sides likely to decide borderline cases. Weather, travel across North American venues, and any late fitness updates could still shift implied probabilities before groups conclude.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCoupe du monde : l'équipe se qualifie pour les phases éliminatoires
$1,536,507 Vol.
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
France
96%
England
96%
Germany
96%
Portugal
96%
Belgium
96%
Argentina
96%
Switzerland
94%
Netherlands
92%
Mexico
92%
Colombia
90%
Ecuador
88%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
83%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
79%
Japan
79%
Egypt
71%
Senegal
71%
South Korea
70%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Algeria
66%
Paraguay
64%
Sweden
63%
Iran
61%
Ghana
51%
Australia
45%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
37%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Panama
35%
Uzbekistan
32%
New Zealand
31%
Cape Verde
31%
Jordan
21%
Qatar
21%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
$1,536,507 Vol.
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
France
96%
England
96%
Germany
96%
Portugal
96%
Belgium
96%
Argentina
96%
Switzerland
94%
Netherlands
92%
Mexico
92%
Colombia
90%
Ecuador
88%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
83%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
79%
Japan
79%
Egypt
71%
Senegal
71%
South Korea
70%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Algeria
66%
Paraguay
64%
Sweden
63%
Iran
61%
Ghana
51%
Australia
45%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
37%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Panama
35%
Uzbekistan
32%
New Zealand
31%
Cape Verde
31%
Jordan
21%
Qatar
21%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage opens with co-host Mexico facing South Africa and other opening fixtures across 12 groups of four, where the top two sides plus the eight best third-placed teams advance to the round of 32. Trader consensus on advancement probabilities reflects pre-tournament power rankings, squad depth, and historical results against similar opposition, with stronger European and South American sides holding clear edges in tougher groups. Recent roster finalizations and warm-up form have reinforced expectations for favorites, while host-nation advantages for Mexico, Canada, and the United States factor into early positioning. Upcoming matches over the next two weeks will clarify standings, with goal difference and results among third-placed sides likely to decide borderline cases. Weather, travel across North American venues, and any late fitness updates could still shift implied probabilities before groups conclude.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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