The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage features 48 teams divided into 12 groups of four, with the top two finishers from each group plus the eight best third-placed sides advancing to the round of 32. Early matches on opening day, including co-host Mexico against South Africa and the United States facing Paraguay, set initial momentum through points, goal difference, and goals scored that feed directly into tiebreaker calculations. Squad depth, recent international form, and home-soil advantages for the three hosts shape trader views on advancement probabilities, while injury updates and starting XI confirmations from official team sheets influence perceptions of key group contenders. The expanded format increases the value of consistent results across three fixtures, with stronger historical performers and higher-ranked sides favored to secure one of the 32 knockout berths.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCoupe du monde : l'équipe se qualifie pour les phases éliminatoires
$1,548,465 Vol.
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
England
97%
France
96%
Germany
96%
Portugal
96%
Belgium
96%
Argentina
96%
Switzerland
94%
Mexico
92%
Netherlands
92%
Colombia
90%
Ecuador
88%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
83%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
79%
Japan
79%
Egypt
73%
South Korea
71%
Senegal
71%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Algeria
66%
Paraguay
64%
Iran
62%
Sweden
62%
Ghana
51%
Australia
45%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
37%
Saudi Arabia
36%
Panama
35%
Uzbekistan
32%
New Zealand
31%
Cape Verde
31%
Jordan
21%
Qatar
21%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
$1,548,465 Vol.
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
England
97%
France
96%
Germany
96%
Portugal
96%
Belgium
96%
Argentina
96%
Switzerland
94%
Mexico
92%
Netherlands
92%
Colombia
90%
Ecuador
88%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
83%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
79%
Japan
79%
Egypt
73%
South Korea
71%
Senegal
71%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Algeria
66%
Paraguay
64%
Iran
62%
Sweden
62%
Ghana
51%
Australia
45%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
37%
Saudi Arabia
36%
Panama
35%
Uzbekistan
32%
New Zealand
31%
Cape Verde
31%
Jordan
21%
Qatar
21%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage features 48 teams divided into 12 groups of four, with the top two finishers from each group plus the eight best third-placed sides advancing to the round of 32. Early matches on opening day, including co-host Mexico against South Africa and the United States facing Paraguay, set initial momentum through points, goal difference, and goals scored that feed directly into tiebreaker calculations. Squad depth, recent international form, and home-soil advantages for the three hosts shape trader views on advancement probabilities, while injury updates and starting XI confirmations from official team sheets influence perceptions of key group contenders. The expanded format increases the value of consistent results across three fixtures, with stronger historical performers and higher-ranked sides favored to secure one of the 32 knockout berths.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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