Türkiye enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group D alongside the United States, Paraguay, and Australia, with their campaign opening against the Socceroos on June 13. Traders price Round of 16 and Round of 32 outcomes highest because the squad—built around Arda Güler, Kenan Yıldız, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, and coach Vincenzo Montella’s high-pressing setup—boasts superior depth and recent qualifying momentum compared with two of its group opponents. Strong attacking returns in UEFA qualifying and back-to-back major-tournament appearances underpin expectations of advancement, yet the absence of a proven striker and the team’s historical variability cap deeper-run probabilities. Low champion and semifinal shares reflect the broader field’s strength and Turkey’s 100-1 outsider status overall, while the elevated “Other” share captures the most probable exit window after a competitive group-stage showing.