xAI’s latest Grok 4.20 release in March 2026 introduced a multi-agent architecture designed to enhance reasoning on complex tasks, including advanced mathematics, yet public evaluations show it trailing leaders like GPT-5.5 Pro on FrontierMath, an Epoch AI benchmark of unpublished, research-level problems that demand original insight rather than pattern matching. Current top models cluster around 50 percent accuracy, reflecting rapid progress in large language model capabilities but persistent gaps on these expert-level math challenges. Traders are watching for any xAI model updates or capability demonstrations before the June 30 resolution date, as competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT series and Anthropic’s offerings continues to drive iterative improvements across frontier labs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$20,870 Vol.
28 févr. 2026
25 %+
57%
30 %+
49%
40 %+
41%
50 %+
16%
$20,870 Vol.
25 %+
$5,197 Vol.
57%
30 %+
$12,605 Vol.
49%
40 %+
$2,898 Vol.
41%
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$170 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI’s latest Grok 4.20 release in March 2026 introduced a multi-agent architecture designed to enhance reasoning on complex tasks, including advanced mathematics, yet public evaluations show it trailing leaders like GPT-5.5 Pro on FrontierMath, an Epoch AI benchmark of unpublished, research-level problems that demand original insight rather than pattern matching. Current top models cluster around 50 percent accuracy, reflecting rapid progress in large language model capabilities but persistent gaps on these expert-level math challenges. Traders are watching for any xAI model updates or capability demonstrations before the June 30 resolution date, as competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT series and Anthropic’s offerings continues to drive iterative improvements across frontier labs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$20,870Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI’s latest Grok 4.20 release in March 2026 introduced a multi-agent architecture designed to enhance reasoning on complex tasks, including advanced mathematics, yet public evaluations show it trailing leaders like GPT-5.5 Pro on FrontierMath, an Epoch AI benchmark of unpublished, research-level problems that demand original insight rather than pattern matching. Current top models cluster around 50 percent accuracy, reflecting rapid progress in large language model capabilities but persistent gaps on these expert-level math challenges. Traders are watching for any xAI model updates or capability demonstrations before the June 30 resolution date, as competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT series and Anthropic’s offerings continues to drive iterative improvements across frontier labs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,870Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI’s latest Grok 4.20 release in March 2026 introduced a multi-agent architecture designed to enhance reasoning on complex tasks, including advanced mathematics, yet public evaluations show it trailing leaders like GPT-5.5 Pro on FrontierMath, an Epoch AI benchmark of unpublished, research-level problems that demand original insight rather than pattern matching. Current top models cluster around 50 percent accuracy, reflecting rapid progress in large language model capabilities but persistent gaps on these expert-level math challenges. Traders are watching for any xAI model updates or capability demonstrations before the June 30 resolution date, as competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT series and Anthropic’s offerings continues to drive iterative improvements across frontier labs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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