Ongoing anthropogenic warming from greenhouse gas accumulation continues to elevate global temperatures, positioning May 2026 among the warmest on record according to multi-model forecasts and observational datasets. Neutral ENSO conditions through early 2026 have moderated the peak anomaly relative to the record-setting El Niño-influenced May of 2024, while the developing El Niño expected by mid-year will primarily influence later months. This dynamic supports the market's strong preference for second-hottest status at 65 percent implied probability, with a realistic but lower 28.5 percent chance of topping the list if early-month observations run warmer than central projections. Upcoming NOAA and Berkeley Earth updates in late May will provide refined anomaly data to clarify the final ranking.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2nd hottest 66%
1st hottest 29%
3rd hottest 5.5%
4th or lower 1.1%
$104,211 वॉल्यूम
$104,211 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
1st hottest
29%
2nd hottest
66%
3rd hottest
6%
4th or lower
1%
2nd hottest 66%
1st hottest 29%
3rd hottest 5.5%
4th or lower 1.1%
$104,211 वॉल्यूम
$104,211 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
1st hottest
$11,790 वॉल्यूम
29%
2nd hottest
$3,370 वॉल्यूम
66%
3rd hottest
$39,419 वॉल्यूम
6%
4th or lower
$49,632 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Ongoing anthropogenic warming from greenhouse gas accumulation continues to elevate global temperatures, positioning May 2026 among the warmest on record according to multi-model forecasts and observational datasets. Neutral ENSO conditions through early 2026 have moderated the peak anomaly relative to the record-setting El Niño-influenced May of 2024, while the developing El Niño expected by mid-year will primarily influence later months. This dynamic supports the market's strong preference for second-hottest status at 65 percent implied probability, with a realistic but lower 28.5 percent chance of topping the list if early-month observations run warmer than central projections. Upcoming NOAA and Berkeley Earth updates in late May will provide refined anomaly data to clarify the final ranking.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$104,211समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Ongoing anthropogenic warming from greenhouse gas accumulation continues to elevate global temperatures, positioning May 2026 among the warmest on record according to multi-model forecasts and observational datasets. Neutral ENSO conditions through early 2026 have moderated the peak anomaly relative to the record-setting El Niño-influenced May of 2024, while the developing El Niño expected by mid-year will primarily influence later months. This dynamic supports the market's strong preference for second-hottest status at 65 percent implied probability, with a realistic but lower 28.5 percent chance of topping the list if early-month observations run warmer than central projections. Upcoming NOAA and Berkeley Earth updates in late May will provide refined anomaly data to clarify the final ranking.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
वॉल्यूम
$104,211समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing anthropogenic warming from greenhouse gas accumulation continues to elevate global temperatures, positioning May 2026 among the warmest on record according to multi-model forecasts and observational datasets. Neutral ENSO conditions through early 2026 have moderated the peak anomaly relative to the record-setting El Niño-influenced May of 2024, while the developing El Niño expected by mid-year will primarily influence later months. This dynamic supports the market's strong preference for second-hottest status at 65 percent implied probability, with a realistic but lower 28.5 percent chance of topping the list if early-month observations run warmer than central projections. Upcoming NOAA and Berkeley Earth updates in late May will provide refined anomaly data to clarify the final ranking.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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