Recent global temperature observations place May 2026 on track for the second-highest monthly anomaly on record, driven by persistently elevated sea-surface temperatures and the rapid emergence of El Niño conditions in the tropical Pacific. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center reports an 82 percent chance of El Niño developing by July, with subsurface heat content already rising sharply and weakening the prior neutral phase. These factors are expected to elevate May’s global mean surface temperature above 2025 and most prior years but fall short of the 2024 peak set under a stronger El Niño. Historical analogs and current model consensus indicate limited upside for a new record this month, while downside risk to third place remains low given the observed early-May warmth across both hemispheres.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2nd hottest 67%
1st hottest 27%
3rd hottest 5.1%
4th or lower 1.0%
$104,835 वॉल्यूम
$104,835 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
1st hottest
27%
2nd hottest
67%
3rd hottest
5%
4th or lower
1%
2nd hottest 67%
1st hottest 27%
3rd hottest 5.1%
4th or lower 1.0%
$104,835 वॉल्यूम
$104,835 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
1st hottest
$11,838 वॉल्यूम
27%
2nd hottest
$3,384 वॉल्यूम
67%
3rd hottest
$39,537 वॉल्यूम
5%
4th or lower
$50,077 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Recent global temperature observations place May 2026 on track for the second-highest monthly anomaly on record, driven by persistently elevated sea-surface temperatures and the rapid emergence of El Niño conditions in the tropical Pacific. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center reports an 82 percent chance of El Niño developing by July, with subsurface heat content already rising sharply and weakening the prior neutral phase. These factors are expected to elevate May’s global mean surface temperature above 2025 and most prior years but fall short of the 2024 peak set under a stronger El Niño. Historical analogs and current model consensus indicate limited upside for a new record this month, while downside risk to third place remains low given the observed early-May warmth across both hemispheres.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$104,835समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Recent global temperature observations place May 2026 on track for the second-highest monthly anomaly on record, driven by persistently elevated sea-surface temperatures and the rapid emergence of El Niño conditions in the tropical Pacific. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center reports an 82 percent chance of El Niño developing by July, with subsurface heat content already rising sharply and weakening the prior neutral phase. These factors are expected to elevate May’s global mean surface temperature above 2025 and most prior years but fall short of the 2024 peak set under a stronger El Niño. Historical analogs and current model consensus indicate limited upside for a new record this month, while downside risk to third place remains low given the observed early-May warmth across both hemispheres.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
वॉल्यूम
$104,835समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global temperature observations place May 2026 on track for the second-highest monthly anomaly on record, driven by persistently elevated sea-surface temperatures and the rapid emergence of El Niño conditions in the tropical Pacific. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center reports an 82 percent chance of El Niño developing by July, with subsurface heat content already rising sharply and weakening the prior neutral phase. These factors are expected to elevate May’s global mean surface temperature above 2025 and most prior years but fall short of the 2024 peak set under a stronger El Niño. Historical analogs and current model consensus indicate limited upside for a new record this month, while downside risk to third place remains low given the observed early-May warmth across both hemispheres.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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