Recent observational data from global monitoring networks show early May 2026 temperatures elevated by a developing strong El Niño event and long-term greenhouse warming, positioning the period as a strong candidate for the second-hottest on record. Model consensus from agencies like NOAA and Copernicus highlights above-average sea surface temperatures in the Pacific driving atmospheric heat, consistent with historical analogs where similar conditions produced near-record daily peaks without fully surpassing 2023–2025 extremes. Upcoming refined analyses of surface and satellite measurements in the coming weeks will clarify exact rankings, with current trader consensus reflecting the narrow gap between first- and second-place outcomes amid these persistent drivers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2nd hottest 67%
1st hottest 27%
3rd hottest 5.3%
4th or lower 1.0%
$104,762 वॉल्यूम
$104,762 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
1st hottest
27%
2nd hottest
67%
3rd hottest
5%
4th or lower
1%
2nd hottest 67%
1st hottest 27%
3rd hottest 5.3%
4th or lower 1.0%
$104,762 वॉल्यूम
$104,762 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
1st hottest
$11,825 वॉल्यूम
27%
2nd hottest
$3,384 वॉल्यूम
67%
3rd hottest
$39,537 वॉल्यूम
5%
4th or lower
$50,077 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Recent observational data from global monitoring networks show early May 2026 temperatures elevated by a developing strong El Niño event and long-term greenhouse warming, positioning the period as a strong candidate for the second-hottest on record. Model consensus from agencies like NOAA and Copernicus highlights above-average sea surface temperatures in the Pacific driving atmospheric heat, consistent with historical analogs where similar conditions produced near-record daily peaks without fully surpassing 2023–2025 extremes. Upcoming refined analyses of surface and satellite measurements in the coming weeks will clarify exact rankings, with current trader consensus reflecting the narrow gap between first- and second-place outcomes amid these persistent drivers.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$104,762समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Recent observational data from global monitoring networks show early May 2026 temperatures elevated by a developing strong El Niño event and long-term greenhouse warming, positioning the period as a strong candidate for the second-hottest on record. Model consensus from agencies like NOAA and Copernicus highlights above-average sea surface temperatures in the Pacific driving atmospheric heat, consistent with historical analogs where similar conditions produced near-record daily peaks without fully surpassing 2023–2025 extremes. Upcoming refined analyses of surface and satellite measurements in the coming weeks will clarify exact rankings, with current trader consensus reflecting the narrow gap between first- and second-place outcomes amid these persistent drivers.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 versus the data points available for all other Mays on record.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If May 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
वॉल्यूम
$104,762समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data from global monitoring networks show early May 2026 temperatures elevated by a developing strong El Niño event and long-term greenhouse warming, positioning the period as a strong candidate for the second-hottest on record. Model consensus from agencies like NOAA and Copernicus highlights above-average sea surface temperatures in the Pacific driving atmospheric heat, consistent with historical analogs where similar conditions produced near-record daily peaks without fully surpassing 2023–2025 extremes. Upcoming refined analyses of surface and satellite measurements in the coming weeks will clarify exact rankings, with current trader consensus reflecting the narrow gap between first- and second-place outcomes amid these persistent drivers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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