Incumbent Rep. Rick Crawford's unopposed Republican primary victory on March 3 and the district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index heavily favor Republicans at 92.5% trader consensus in the AR-01 House race, reflecting consistent 70%+ general election margins in 2022 and 2024 against underfunded Democrats. Challenger Dr. Terri Yarbrough Green advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but reports no fundraising as of late March, while Crawford holds over $1.1 million cash-on-hand amid Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. With the November 3 general election approaching, scenarios like a Crawford scandal, withdrawal, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this dominance, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAR -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
AR -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$18,687 वॉल्यूम
$18,687 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
93%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
6%
$18,687 वॉल्यूम
$18,687 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$11,115 वॉल्यूम
93%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$7,571 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Rick Crawford's unopposed Republican primary victory on March 3 and the district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index heavily favor Republicans at 92.5% trader consensus in the AR-01 House race, reflecting consistent 70%+ general election margins in 2022 and 2024 against underfunded Democrats. Challenger Dr. Terri Yarbrough Green advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but reports no fundraising as of late March, while Crawford holds over $1.1 million cash-on-hand amid Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. With the November 3 general election approaching, scenarios like a Crawford scandal, withdrawal, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this dominance, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,687समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Rick Crawford's unopposed Republican primary victory on March 3 and the district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index heavily favor Republicans at 92.5% trader consensus in the AR-01 House race, reflecting consistent 70%+ general election margins in 2022 and 2024 against underfunded Democrats. Challenger Dr. Terri Yarbrough Green advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but reports no fundraising as of late March, while Crawford holds over $1.1 million cash-on-hand amid Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. With the November 3 general election approaching, scenarios like a Crawford scandal, withdrawal, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this dominance, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$18,687समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Rick Crawford's unopposed Republican primary victory on March 3 and the district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index heavily favor Republicans at 92.5% trader consensus in the AR-01 House race, reflecting consistent 70%+ general election margins in 2022 and 2024 against underfunded Democrats. Challenger Dr. Terri Yarbrough Green advanced unopposed on the Democratic side but reports no fundraising as of late March, while Crawford holds over $1.1 million cash-on-hand amid Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. With the November 3 general election approaching, scenarios like a Crawford scandal, withdrawal, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this dominance, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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