Arkansas Issue 1, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment, will appear on the November 3, 2026, general election ballot after referral by the state legislature in April 2025. The measure would amend Article 3 to state explicitly that only U.S. citizens meeting existing elector qualifications may vote in any state or local election, closing potential interpretive gaps in current language that already bars noncitizens. Sponsors, including Rep. David Ray, frame it as a preemptive step against local expansions of noncitizen voting observed in other jurisdictions. A March 2025 poll of likely voters showed roughly 70% support. With Arkansas’s Republican legislative majorities and the pattern of strong statewide approval for similar citizenship-requirement amendments elsewhere, trader consensus places the implied probability of passage at 91.8%. No organized opposition or recent polling shifts have emerged to alter that outlook.