Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for North Carolina's 4th congressional district, facing Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. The district's composition, encompassing Democratic strongholds in Durham and Orange counties along with portions of Chatham and Wake, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbency advantages, consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area further reinforce this positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal, or substantial national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely Democratic seat based on historical benchmarks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNC -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NC -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$25,520 वॉल्यूम
$25,520 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$25,520 वॉल्यूम
$25,520 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$14,749 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$10,771 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for North Carolina's 4th congressional district, facing Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. The district's composition, encompassing Democratic strongholds in Durham and Orange counties along with portions of Chatham and Wake, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbency advantages, consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area further reinforce this positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal, or substantial national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely Democratic seat based on historical benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,520समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for North Carolina's 4th congressional district, facing Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. The district's composition, encompassing Democratic strongholds in Durham and Orange counties along with portions of Chatham and Wake, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbency advantages, consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area further reinforce this positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal, or substantial national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely Democratic seat based on historical benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$25,520समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for North Carolina's 4th congressional district, facing Republican Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. The district's composition, encompassing Democratic strongholds in Durham and Orange counties along with portions of Chatham and Wake, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbency advantages, consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area further reinforce this positioning. A late-breaking scandal, health-related withdrawal, or substantial national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in this safely Democratic seat based on historical benchmarks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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