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Polymarket
नया
Polymarket
नया

Democratic Party

$4,585 वॉल्यूम

90%

Republican Party

$4,107 वॉल्यूम

10%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln for the November general election in California's 13th congressional district. Redistricting shifted the seat toward a clearer Democratic lean by incorporating areas such as Stockton, building on Gray's narrow 2024 victory that flipped the seat. Forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic, citing the district's partisan baseline, Gray's incumbency, and limited recent polling that aligns with a substantial projected margin. These factors underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome, with the November 3 general election serving as the resolution trigger absent unforeseen developments in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$8,692
समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Kevin Lincoln for the November general election in California's 13th congressional district. Redistricting shifted the seat toward a clearer Democratic lean by incorporating areas such as Stockton, building on Gray's narrow 2024 victory that flipped the seat. Forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic, citing the district's partisan baseline, Gray's incumbency, and limited recent polling that aligns with a substantial projected margin. These factors underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome, with the November 3 general election serving as the resolution trigger absent unforeseen developments in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$8,692
समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"CA-13 House Election Winner" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, Democratic Party 90% (90¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद Republican Party 10% पर है।

"CA-13 House Election Winner" Polymarket पर एक नवनिर्मित बाज़ार है, Dec 16, 2025 को लॉन्च किया गया। एक शुरुआती बाज़ार के रूप में, यह पहले ट्रेडरों में शामिल होने और संभावनाएँ सेट करने और बाज़ार के शुरुआती मूल्य संकेत स्थापित करने का आपका अवसर है। आप समय के साथ बाज़ार की गति बढ़ने पर वॉल्यूम और ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि को ट्रैक करने के लिए इस पेज को बुकमार्क भी कर सकते हैं।

"CA-13 House Election Winner" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"CA-13 House Election Winner" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "Democratic Party" 90% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "Republican Party" 10% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"CA-13 House Election Winner" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।