China’s official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5 percent, set during the March National People’s Congress and reiterated in the government work report, anchors trader expectations around the 4–5 percent range. First-quarter data released in mid-April showed 5 percent year-on-year expansion, supported by resilient exports and early fiscal deployment, yet tempered by subdued household consumption and lingering property-sector weakness. Geopolitical tensions, including energy-price volatility linked to Middle East developments, add downside risks that limit upside bets above 5 percent. With the 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizing stability over acceleration, the current distribution reflects broad alignment between official guidance and independent forecasts clustered near 4.7–4.8 percent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4.0–5.0% 69%
5.0–6.0% 30.4%
3.0–4.0% 1.4%
6.0-7.0% <1%
$572,104 वॉल्यूम
$572,104 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2026
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
1%
4.0–5.0%
69%
5.0–6.0%
30%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
<1%
9.0%+
<1%
4.0–5.0% 69%
5.0–6.0% 30.4%
3.0–4.0% 1.4%
6.0-7.0% <1%
$572,104 वॉल्यूम
$572,104 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2026
<1.0%
$44,526 वॉल्यूम
<1%
1.0–2.0%
$43,665 वॉल्यूम
<1%
2.0–3.0%
$23,945 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.0–4.0%
$46,550 वॉल्यूम
1%
4.0–5.0%
$138,757 वॉल्यूम
69%
5.0–6.0%
$56,351 वॉल्यूम
30%
6.0-7.0%
$51,210 वॉल्यूम
1%
7.0–8.0%
$55,935 वॉल्यूम
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$24,153 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9.0%+
$87,013 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China’s official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5 percent, set during the March National People’s Congress and reiterated in the government work report, anchors trader expectations around the 4–5 percent range. First-quarter data released in mid-April showed 5 percent year-on-year expansion, supported by resilient exports and early fiscal deployment, yet tempered by subdued household consumption and lingering property-sector weakness. Geopolitical tensions, including energy-price volatility linked to Middle East developments, add downside risks that limit upside bets above 5 percent. With the 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizing stability over acceleration, the current distribution reflects broad alignment between official guidance and independent forecasts clustered near 4.7–4.8 percent.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$572,104समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China’s official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5 percent, set during the March National People’s Congress and reiterated in the government work report, anchors trader expectations around the 4–5 percent range. First-quarter data released in mid-April showed 5 percent year-on-year expansion, supported by resilient exports and early fiscal deployment, yet tempered by subdued household consumption and lingering property-sector weakness. Geopolitical tensions, including energy-price volatility linked to Middle East developments, add downside risks that limit upside bets above 5 percent. With the 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizing stability over acceleration, the current distribution reflects broad alignment between official guidance and independent forecasts clustered near 4.7–4.8 percent.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$572,104समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5 percent, set during the March National People’s Congress and reiterated in the government work report, anchors trader expectations around the 4–5 percent range. First-quarter data released in mid-April showed 5 percent year-on-year expansion, supported by resilient exports and early fiscal deployment, yet tempered by subdued household consumption and lingering property-sector weakness. Geopolitical tensions, including energy-price volatility linked to Middle East developments, add downside risks that limit upside bets above 5 percent. With the 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizing stability over acceleration, the current distribution reflects broad alignment between official guidance and independent forecasts clustered near 4.7–4.8 percent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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