Recent U.S. GDP prints of 1.6% annualized in Q1 2026 and softer Q2 readings near 1.5%, alongside cooling labor market data, have anchored trader consensus on Polymarket around the 1.5–2.5% bands for full-year growth. Official projections from the CBO and Philadelphia Fed SPF center near 2.2%, reflecting fiscal support from the 2025 reconciliation act and AI-driven capital spending offset by tariff-related drags on consumption, reduced immigration slowing labor-force growth, and above-target inflation that has kept the Federal Reserve on hold. The closely matched 34.4% and 32.0% implied probabilities for the leading ranges underscore uncertainty over whether investment-led momentum can fully counter these headwinds before year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में जीडीपी की वृद्धि
2026 में जीडीपी की वृद्धि
1.5–2.0% 35.3%
2.0–2.5% 32%
>2.5% 19%
1.0–1.5% 9.8%
$58,052 वॉल्यूम
$58,052 वॉल्यूम
29 जन, 2027
<0.5%
7%
0.5–1.0%
4%
1.0–1.5%
10%
1.5–2.0%
35%
2.0–2.5%
32%
>2.5%
19%
1.5–2.0% 35.3%
2.0–2.5% 32%
>2.5% 19%
1.0–1.5% 9.8%
$58,052 वॉल्यूम
$58,052 वॉल्यूम
29 जन, 2027
<0.5%
$7,439 वॉल्यूम
7%
0.5–1.0%
$17,161 वॉल्यूम
4%
1.0–1.5%
$3,814 वॉल्यूम
10%
1.5–2.0%
$6,622 वॉल्यूम
35%
2.0–2.5%
$7,085 वॉल्यूम
32%
>2.5%
$15,931 वॉल्यूम
19%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. GDP prints of 1.6% annualized in Q1 2026 and softer Q2 readings near 1.5%, alongside cooling labor market data, have anchored trader consensus on Polymarket around the 1.5–2.5% bands for full-year growth. Official projections from the CBO and Philadelphia Fed SPF center near 2.2%, reflecting fiscal support from the 2025 reconciliation act and AI-driven capital spending offset by tariff-related drags on consumption, reduced immigration slowing labor-force growth, and above-target inflation that has kept the Federal Reserve on hold. The closely matched 34.4% and 32.0% implied probabilities for the leading ranges underscore uncertainty over whether investment-led momentum can fully counter these headwinds before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$58,052समाप्ति तिथि
29 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. GDP prints of 1.6% annualized in Q1 2026 and softer Q2 readings near 1.5%, alongside cooling labor market data, have anchored trader consensus on Polymarket around the 1.5–2.5% bands for full-year growth. Official projections from the CBO and Philadelphia Fed SPF center near 2.2%, reflecting fiscal support from the 2025 reconciliation act and AI-driven capital spending offset by tariff-related drags on consumption, reduced immigration slowing labor-force growth, and above-target inflation that has kept the Federal Reserve on hold. The closely matched 34.4% and 32.0% implied probabilities for the leading ranges underscore uncertainty over whether investment-led momentum can fully counter these headwinds before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$58,052समाप्ति तिथि
29 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent U.S. GDP prints of 1.6% annualized in Q1 2026 and softer Q2 readings near 1.5%, alongside cooling labor market data, have anchored trader consensus on Polymarket around the 1.5–2.5% bands for full-year growth. Official projections from the CBO and Philadelphia Fed SPF center near 2.2%, reflecting fiscal support from the 2025 reconciliation act and AI-driven capital spending offset by tariff-related drags on consumption, reduced immigration slowing labor-force growth, and above-target inflation that has kept the Federal Reserve on hold. The closely matched 34.4% and 32.0% implied probabilities for the leading ranges underscore uncertainty over whether investment-led momentum can fully counter these headwinds before year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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