Deep Fission’s May 2026 Nasdaq IPO filing, priced at $24–$26 per share for roughly $150–157 million in proceeds and implying a $1.66–1.7 billion fully diluted valuation, anchors current market-implied odds. Traders appear to discount the pre-revenue advanced nuclear startup’s underground small modular reactor plans amid skepticism over commercialization timelines, limited NRC pre-application progress, and its prior non-trading SPAC listing. This drives the highest probability toward a closing market cap below $1.25 billion, with moderate support for the $1.75–2.0 billion range if demand materializes. Uncertainty around near-term completion before August 2026 further tempers higher-valuation buckets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया<$1.25B 66.0%
$2.5B–$3.0B 14.2%
$1.5B–$1.75B 6%
No IPO before August 2026 1.0%
$19,221 वॉल्यूम
$19,221 वॉल्यूम
<$1.25B
53%
$1.25B–$1.5B
36%
$1.5B–$1.75B
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
28%
$2.0B–$2.5B
9%
$2.5B–$3.0B
19%
$3.0B+
14%
No IPO before August 2026
22%
<$1.25B 66.0%
$2.5B–$3.0B 14.2%
$1.5B–$1.75B 6%
No IPO before August 2026 1.0%
$19,221 वॉल्यूम
$19,221 वॉल्यूम
<$1.25B
53%
$1.25B–$1.5B
36%
$1.5B–$1.75B
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
28%
$2.0B–$2.5B
9%
$2.5B–$3.0B
19%
$3.0B+
14%
No IPO before August 2026
22%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Deep Fission’s May 2026 Nasdaq IPO filing, priced at $24–$26 per share for roughly $150–157 million in proceeds and implying a $1.66–1.7 billion fully diluted valuation, anchors current market-implied odds. Traders appear to discount the pre-revenue advanced nuclear startup’s underground small modular reactor plans amid skepticism over commercialization timelines, limited NRC pre-application progress, and its prior non-trading SPAC listing. This drives the highest probability toward a closing market cap below $1.25 billion, with moderate support for the $1.75–2.0 billion range if demand materializes. Uncertainty around near-term completion before August 2026 further tempers higher-valuation buckets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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