Sam Altman’s September 12 statement ruling out an OpenAI IPO in 2026 due to AI safety priorities has shifted trader focus toward a 2027 debut at or above a $1 trillion valuation, consistent with the company’s latest private round near $852 billion and Altman’s insistence on that threshold as a nonstarter. Secondary-market marks imply a lower ~$475 billion level, underscoring valuation uncertainty amid rapid revenue growth to a $24–40 billion annualized run rate yet persistent unprofitability and intensifying competition from Anthropic. With Polymarket odds clustered in the $1.5–2.0 trillion bands, traders appear to price in further multiple expansion from AI demand before any public listing, tempered by regulatory and safety overhangs that could still compress multiples closer to resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 19.0%
$2.5T+ 16.0%
$1.25T–$1.5T 14.3%
$131,363 वॉल्यूम
$131,363 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2027
<$1T
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
14%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
9%
$2.5T+
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 19.0%
$2.5T+ 16.0%
$1.25T–$1.5T 14.3%
$131,363 वॉल्यूम
$131,363 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2027
<$1T
$18,922 वॉल्यूम
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$14,064 वॉल्यूम
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$7,448 वॉल्यूम
14%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,293 वॉल्यूम
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,600 वॉल्यूम
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,616 वॉल्यूम
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$8,484 वॉल्यूम
9%
$2.5T+
$58,936 वॉल्यूम
16%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman’s September 12 statement ruling out an OpenAI IPO in 2026 due to AI safety priorities has shifted trader focus toward a 2027 debut at or above a $1 trillion valuation, consistent with the company’s latest private round near $852 billion and Altman’s insistence on that threshold as a nonstarter. Secondary-market marks imply a lower ~$475 billion level, underscoring valuation uncertainty amid rapid revenue growth to a $24–40 billion annualized run rate yet persistent unprofitability and intensifying competition from Anthropic. With Polymarket odds clustered in the $1.5–2.0 trillion bands, traders appear to price in further multiple expansion from AI demand before any public listing, tempered by regulatory and safety overhangs that could still compress multiples closer to resolution.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$131,363समाप्ति तिथि
1 जुल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman’s September 12 statement ruling out an OpenAI IPO in 2026 due to AI safety priorities has shifted trader focus toward a 2027 debut at or above a $1 trillion valuation, consistent with the company’s latest private round near $852 billion and Altman’s insistence on that threshold as a nonstarter. Secondary-market marks imply a lower ~$475 billion level, underscoring valuation uncertainty amid rapid revenue growth to a $24–40 billion annualized run rate yet persistent unprofitability and intensifying competition from Anthropic. With Polymarket odds clustered in the $1.5–2.0 trillion bands, traders appear to price in further multiple expansion from AI demand before any public listing, tempered by regulatory and safety overhangs that could still compress multiples closer to resolution.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$131,363समाप्ति तिथि
1 जुल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Sam Altman’s September 12 statement ruling out an OpenAI IPO in 2026 due to AI safety priorities has shifted trader focus toward a 2027 debut at or above a $1 trillion valuation, consistent with the company’s latest private round near $852 billion and Altman’s insistence on that threshold as a nonstarter. Secondary-market marks imply a lower ~$475 billion level, underscoring valuation uncertainty amid rapid revenue growth to a $24–40 billion annualized run rate yet persistent unprofitability and intensifying competition from Anthropic. With Polymarket odds clustered in the $1.5–2.0 trillion bands, traders appear to price in further multiple expansion from AI demand before any public listing, tempered by regulatory and safety overhangs that could still compress multiples closer to resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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