Sam Altman’s September 12 statements ruling out a 2026 OpenAI IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work ahead of any listing, represent the dominant near-term driver of trader sentiment. With the company having confidentially filed in June yet facing no immediate pressure to proceed, market-implied odds favor a $100B+ raise at 46% once safety benchmarks and coordination with regulators advance, while the 27% probability on a sub-$30B outcome prices in potential delays or scaled-back ambitions. OpenAI’s latest private round at an $852 billion valuation and broader AI-sector fundraising provide context for expectations of a landmark offering, though timing uncertainty and regulatory scrutiny introduce volatility in the implied probabilities ahead of any 2027 window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$100B+ 41%
<$30B 23.2%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 19.4%
नया
नया
30 दिस, 2027
<$30B
23%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
9%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
44%
$100B+ 41%
<$30B 23.2%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 19.4%
नया
नया
30 दिस, 2027
<$30B
$603 वॉल्यूम
23%
$30B–$40B
$463 वॉल्यूम
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 वॉल्यूम
23%
$50B–$60B
$1,153 वॉल्यूम
6%
$60B–$70B
$499 वॉल्यूम
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 वॉल्यूम
9%
$80B–$90B
$448 वॉल्यूम
19%
$90B–$100B
$306 वॉल्यूम
3%
$100B+
$1,742 वॉल्यूम
44%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman’s September 12 statements ruling out a 2026 OpenAI IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work ahead of any listing, represent the dominant near-term driver of trader sentiment. With the company having confidentially filed in June yet facing no immediate pressure to proceed, market-implied odds favor a $100B+ raise at 46% once safety benchmarks and coordination with regulators advance, while the 27% probability on a sub-$30B outcome prices in potential delays or scaled-back ambitions. OpenAI’s latest private round at an $852 billion valuation and broader AI-sector fundraising provide context for expectations of a landmark offering, though timing uncertainty and regulatory scrutiny introduce volatility in the implied probabilities ahead of any 2027 window.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,324समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman’s September 12 statements ruling out a 2026 OpenAI IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work ahead of any listing, represent the dominant near-term driver of trader sentiment. With the company having confidentially filed in June yet facing no immediate pressure to proceed, market-implied odds favor a $100B+ raise at 46% once safety benchmarks and coordination with regulators advance, while the 27% probability on a sub-$30B outcome prices in potential delays or scaled-back ambitions. OpenAI’s latest private round at an $852 billion valuation and broader AI-sector fundraising provide context for expectations of a landmark offering, though timing uncertainty and regulatory scrutiny introduce volatility in the implied probabilities ahead of any 2027 window.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$7,324समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Sam Altman’s September 12 statements ruling out a 2026 OpenAI IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work ahead of any listing, represent the dominant near-term driver of trader sentiment. With the company having confidentially filed in June yet facing no immediate pressure to proceed, market-implied odds favor a $100B+ raise at 46% once safety benchmarks and coordination with regulators advance, while the 27% probability on a sub-$30B outcome prices in potential delays or scaled-back ambitions. OpenAI’s latest private round at an $852 billion valuation and broader AI-sector fundraising provide context for expectations of a landmark offering, though timing uncertainty and regulatory scrutiny introduce volatility in the implied probabilities ahead of any 2027 window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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