Trader expectations for Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22 rest on his established pattern of high-volume activity, with averages near 18 posts per day and frequent overnight surges during periods of domestic policy debate and international developments. Recent weeks have shown steady output tied to public statements and news cycles, including spikes such as 565 posts in April and multi-hour barrages exceeding 50 posts, which align with the 53.5% probability on 200+ and the secondary clustering around 160-179. This activity level exceeds historical baselines from his first term and sustains the current pricing across elevated ranges, while lower brackets remain discounted absent any slowdown in engagement drivers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाडोनाल्ड ट्रम्प # ट्रूथ सोशल पोस्ट 15 मई - 22 मई, 2026?
डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प # ट्रूथ सोशल पोस्ट 15 मई - 22 मई, 2026?
200+ 54%
160-179 25%
180-199 14.2%
140-159 11%
$23,462 वॉल्यूम
$23,462 वॉल्यूम
22 मई, 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
7%
140-159
11%
160-179
25%
180-199
14%
200+
54%
200+ 54%
160-179 25%
180-199 14.2%
140-159 11%
$23,462 वॉल्यूम
$23,462 वॉल्यूम
22 मई, 2026
60-79
$2,317 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80-99
$4,871 वॉल्यूम
<1%
100-119
$1,269 वॉल्यूम
2%
120-139
$1,240 वॉल्यूम
7%
140-159
$537 वॉल्यूम
11%
160-179
$416 वॉल्यूम
25%
180-199
$607 वॉल्यूम
14%
200+
$1,331 वॉल्यूम
54%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader expectations for Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22 rest on his established pattern of high-volume activity, with averages near 18 posts per day and frequent overnight surges during periods of domestic policy debate and international developments. Recent weeks have shown steady output tied to public statements and news cycles, including spikes such as 565 posts in April and multi-hour barrages exceeding 50 posts, which align with the 53.5% probability on 200+ and the secondary clustering around 160-179. This activity level exceeds historical baselines from his first term and sustains the current pricing across elevated ranges, while lower brackets remain discounted absent any slowdown in engagement drivers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$23,462समाप्ति तिथि
22 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader expectations for Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22 rest on his established pattern of high-volume activity, with averages near 18 posts per day and frequent overnight surges during periods of domestic policy debate and international developments. Recent weeks have shown steady output tied to public statements and news cycles, including spikes such as 565 posts in April and multi-hour barrages exceeding 50 posts, which align with the 53.5% probability on 200+ and the secondary clustering around 160-179. This activity level exceeds historical baselines from his first term and sustains the current pricing across elevated ranges, while lower brackets remain discounted absent any slowdown in engagement drivers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$23,462समाप्ति तिथि
22 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader expectations for Donald Trump exceeding 200 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22 rest on his established pattern of high-volume activity, with averages near 18 posts per day and frequent overnight surges during periods of domestic policy debate and international developments. Recent weeks have shown steady output tied to public statements and news cycles, including spikes such as 565 posts in April and multi-hour barrages exceeding 50 posts, which align with the 53.5% probability on 200+ and the secondary clustering around 160-179. This activity level exceeds historical baselines from his first term and sustains the current pricing across elevated ranges, while lower brackets remain discounted absent any slowdown in engagement drivers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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