A new Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos B&A poll released May 14 shows Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan leading first preferences at 21% in the Dublin Central by-election, ahead of Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at 18% and independent Gerry Hutch at 14%, with Fine Gael's Ray McAdam at 13% and Fianna Fáil's John Stephens at 4%. Yet Polymarket traders price Ennis as a strong 66.5% favorite to win the seat vacated by Paschal Donohoe, implying confidence in his surge via transfers under Ireland's single transferable vote system, as progressive votes from Greens, Labour, and others flow his way after early eliminations. The May 22 vote remains competitive, with transfers pivotal amid government party weakness in Mary Lou McDonald's constituency.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाडबलिन - सेंट्रल उप - चुनाव विजेता
डबलिन - सेंट्रल उप - चुनाव विजेता
डैनियल एनिस 67%
जैनीस बॉयलन 22.9%
गेरी हच 7.3%
रे मैकएडम 1.7%
$1,083,412 वॉल्यूम
$1,083,412 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
डैनियल एनिस
67%
जैनीस बॉयलन
23%
गेरी हच
7%
रे मैकएडम
2%
गिलियन शेर्राट
1%
जेनेट हॉर्नर
1%
इयान नोएल स्माइथ
1%
मैरी फिट्ज़पैट्रिक
<1%
मलाची स्टीन्सन
<1%
इओगन ओ केनाभैन
<1%
सीमस मैकग्राटन
<1%
जॉन स्टीफंस
<1%
डैनियल एनिस 67%
जैनीस बॉयलन 22.9%
गेरी हच 7.3%
रे मैकएडम 1.7%
$1,083,412 वॉल्यूम
$1,083,412 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
डैनियल एनिस
$32,504 वॉल्यूम
67%
जैनीस बॉयलन
$17,841 वॉल्यूम
23%
गेरी हच
$507,455 वॉल्यूम
7%
रे मैकएडम
$34,431 वॉल्यूम
2%
गिलियन शेर्राट
$182,732 वॉल्यूम
1%
जेनेट हॉर्नर
$12,891 वॉल्यूम
1%
इयान नोएल स्माइथ
$13,501 वॉल्यूम
1%
मैरी फिट्ज़पैट्रिक
$45,252 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मलाची स्टीन्सन
$20,332 वॉल्यूम
<1%
इओगन ओ केनाभैन
$53,097 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सीमस मैकग्राटन
$9,451 वॉल्यूम
<1%
जॉन स्टीफंस
$153,925 वॉल्यूम
<1%
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).A new Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos B&A poll released May 14 shows Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan leading first preferences at 21% in the Dublin Central by-election, ahead of Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at 18% and independent Gerry Hutch at 14%, with Fine Gael's Ray McAdam at 13% and Fianna Fáil's John Stephens at 4%. Yet Polymarket traders price Ennis as a strong 66.5% favorite to win the seat vacated by Paschal Donohoe, implying confidence in his surge via transfers under Ireland's single transferable vote system, as progressive votes from Greens, Labour, and others flow his way after early eliminations. The May 22 vote remains competitive, with transfers pivotal amid government party weakness in Mary Lou McDonald's constituency.
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,083,412समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).A new Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos B&A poll released May 14 shows Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan leading first preferences at 21% in the Dublin Central by-election, ahead of Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at 18% and independent Gerry Hutch at 14%, with Fine Gael's Ray McAdam at 13% and Fianna Fáil's John Stephens at 4%. Yet Polymarket traders price Ennis as a strong 66.5% favorite to win the seat vacated by Paschal Donohoe, implying confidence in his surge via transfers under Ireland's single transferable vote system, as progressive votes from Greens, Labour, and others flow his way after early eliminations. The May 22 vote remains competitive, with transfers pivotal amid government party weakness in Mary Lou McDonald's constituency.
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,083,412समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A new Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos B&A poll released May 14 shows Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan leading first preferences at 21% in the Dublin Central by-election, ahead of Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at 18% and independent Gerry Hutch at 14%, with Fine Gael's Ray McAdam at 13% and Fianna Fáil's John Stephens at 4%. Yet Polymarket traders price Ennis as a strong 66.5% favorite to win the seat vacated by Paschal Donohoe, implying confidence in his surge via transfers under Ireland's single transferable vote system, as progressive votes from Greens, Labour, and others flow his way after early eliminations. The May 22 vote remains competitive, with transfers pivotal amid government party weakness in Mary Lou McDonald's constituency.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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