Elon Musk's established average posting cadence on X—typically 20-30 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily—anchors trader consensus around 160-199 tweets for the August 11-18 window, with the 160-179 bracket leading at 41.5% implied probability and 180-199 close behind at 30.5%. This range aligns with steady business commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and Grok updates plus routine platform engagement, absent major catalysts like new product reveals or external controversies that have historically pushed weekly totals higher. Mid-week activity through August 16 shows consistent volume without acceleration, while the remaining days offer limited room for dramatic shifts before the August 18 close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया160-179 42%
180-199 31%
140-159 15.4%
200-219 11%
$1,608,717 वॉल्यूम
$1,608,717 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
120-139
1%
140-159
15%
160-179
42%
180-199
31%
200-219
11%
220-239
2%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 42%
180-199 31%
140-159 15.4%
200-219 11%
$1,608,717 वॉल्यूम
$1,608,717 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
120-139
$228,466 वॉल्यूम
1%
140-159
$214,249 वॉल्यूम
15%
160-179
$135,387 वॉल्यूम
42%
180-199
$97,617 वॉल्यूम
31%
200-219
$82,738 वॉल्यूम
11%
220-239
$80,207 वॉल्यूम
2%
240-259
$98,900 वॉल्यूम
<1%
260-279
$84,734 वॉल्यूम
<1%
280-299
$86,734 वॉल्यूम
<1%
300-319
$83,049 वॉल्यूम
<1%
320-339
$43,368 वॉल्यूम
<1%
340-359
$42,323 वॉल्यूम
<1%
360-379
$29,969 वॉल्यूम
<1%
380-399
$25,087 वॉल्यूम
<1%
400-419
$22,118 वॉल्यूम
<1%
420-439
$15,300 वॉल्यूम
<1%
440-459
$15,044 वॉल्यूम
<1%
460-479
$6,196 वॉल्यूम
<1%
480-499
$5,696 वॉल्यूम
<1%
500+
$43,869 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established average posting cadence on X—typically 20-30 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily—anchors trader consensus around 160-199 tweets for the August 11-18 window, with the 160-179 bracket leading at 41.5% implied probability and 180-199 close behind at 30.5%. This range aligns with steady business commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and Grok updates plus routine platform engagement, absent major catalysts like new product reveals or external controversies that have historically pushed weekly totals higher. Mid-week activity through August 16 shows consistent volume without acceleration, while the remaining days offer limited room for dramatic shifts before the August 18 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,608,717समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established average posting cadence on X—typically 20-30 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily—anchors trader consensus around 160-199 tweets for the August 11-18 window, with the 160-179 bracket leading at 41.5% implied probability and 180-199 close behind at 30.5%. This range aligns with steady business commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and Grok updates plus routine platform engagement, absent major catalysts like new product reveals or external controversies that have historically pushed weekly totals higher. Mid-week activity through August 16 shows consistent volume without acceleration, while the remaining days offer limited room for dramatic shifts before the August 18 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$1,608,717समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's established average posting cadence on X—typically 20-30 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily—anchors trader consensus around 160-199 tweets for the August 11-18 window, with the 160-179 bracket leading at 41.5% implied probability and 180-199 close behind at 30.5%. This range aligns with steady business commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and Grok updates plus routine platform engagement, absent major catalysts like new product reveals or external controversies that have historically pushed weekly totals higher. Mid-week activity through August 16 shows consistent volume without acceleration, while the remaining days offer limited room for dramatic shifts before the August 18 close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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