Traders see steady high-volume posting as the core driver behind the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 160–219 tweets for the week, reflecting Elon Musk’s established X activity patterns averaging 25–40 posts daily amid routine company updates on SpaceX, Tesla, xAI, and Grok. Recent single-day tallies near 40 posts and consistent weekly resolutions in similar brackets reinforce this consensus without major scheduled events or viral spikes expected to push totals higher. Competitive dynamics hinge on subtle momentum shifts from ongoing AI discussions or launch commentary, though the market’s narrow spread underscores limited upside volatility and the predictability of his baseline engagement pace through the period.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया180-199 21%
160-179 20%
200-219 19%
140-159 15%
$139,960 वॉल्यूम
$139,960 वॉल्यूम
25 अग, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
2%
120-139
6%
140-159
15%
160-179
20%
180-199
21%
200-219
19%
220-239
10%
240-259
6%
260-279
3%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 21%
160-179 20%
200-219 19%
140-159 15%
$139,960 वॉल्यूम
$139,960 वॉल्यूम
25 अग, 2026
<20
$4,671 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20-39
$1,671 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40-59
$7,515 वॉल्यूम
<1%
60-79
$19,409 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80-99
$17,661 वॉल्यूम
1%
100-119
$11,626 वॉल्यूम
2%
120-139
$6,576 वॉल्यूम
6%
140-159
$594 वॉल्यूम
15%
160-179
$3,088 वॉल्यूम
20%
180-199
$3,999 वॉल्यूम
21%
200-219
$632 वॉल्यूम
19%
220-239
$403 वॉल्यूम
10%
240-259
$780 वॉल्यूम
6%
260-279
$833 वॉल्यूम
3%
280-299
$2,991 वॉल्यूम
2%
300-319
$2,433 वॉल्यूम
1%
320-339
$608 वॉल्यूम
<1%
340-359
$530 वॉल्यूम
<1%
360-379
$636 वॉल्यूम
<1%
380-399
$6,109 वॉल्यूम
<1%
400-419
$7,198 वॉल्यूम
<1%
420-439
$5,515 वॉल्यूम
<1%
440-459
$515 वॉल्यूम
<1%
460-479
$515 वॉल्यूम
<1%
480-499
$1,515 वॉल्यूम
<1%
500+
$31,938 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see steady high-volume posting as the core driver behind the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 160–219 tweets for the week, reflecting Elon Musk’s established X activity patterns averaging 25–40 posts daily amid routine company updates on SpaceX, Tesla, xAI, and Grok. Recent single-day tallies near 40 posts and consistent weekly resolutions in similar brackets reinforce this consensus without major scheduled events or viral spikes expected to push totals higher. Competitive dynamics hinge on subtle momentum shifts from ongoing AI discussions or launch commentary, though the market’s narrow spread underscores limited upside volatility and the predictability of his baseline engagement pace through the period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$139,960समाप्ति तिथि
25 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see steady high-volume posting as the core driver behind the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 160–219 tweets for the week, reflecting Elon Musk’s established X activity patterns averaging 25–40 posts daily amid routine company updates on SpaceX, Tesla, xAI, and Grok. Recent single-day tallies near 40 posts and consistent weekly resolutions in similar brackets reinforce this consensus without major scheduled events or viral spikes expected to push totals higher. Competitive dynamics hinge on subtle momentum shifts from ongoing AI discussions or launch commentary, though the market’s narrow spread underscores limited upside volatility and the predictability of his baseline engagement pace through the period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$139,960समाप्ति तिथि
25 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see steady high-volume posting as the core driver behind the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 160–219 tweets for the week, reflecting Elon Musk’s established X activity patterns averaging 25–40 posts daily amid routine company updates on SpaceX, Tesla, xAI, and Grok. Recent single-day tallies near 40 posts and consistent weekly resolutions in similar brackets reinforce this consensus without major scheduled events or viral spikes expected to push totals higher. Competitive dynamics hinge on subtle momentum shifts from ongoing AI discussions or launch commentary, though the market’s narrow spread underscores limited upside volatility and the predictability of his baseline engagement pace through the period.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न