The Falealili No.1 by-election in Samoa follows the Supreme Court’s March 2026 ruling voiding the prior FAST incumbent’s win on bribery charges, leaving the seat open under electoral law. Trader consensus reflects a wide-open field with numerous candidates from FAST, HRPP, and independent backgrounds, producing closely matched probabilities around the leading names and broad 50% pricing on others. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the timing of the writ for polling sustain the tight positioning, as no single contender has established a dominant path to victory. Scheduled nomination deadlines or early campaigning developments could shift sentiment by clarifying viable frontrunners.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाटावेउवेउ विली तुआतागालोआ फेतू 29%
तुइलोमा तुसा सीइलीली लनिसेलोता लामेको 22%
स्युमाफ़ालेपोलु एपरिला वा तियाई 16%
औसेउगालेलेई उइटी लगावाले 15%
नया
नया
18 सित, 2026
टावेउवेउ विली तुआतागालोआ फेतू
29%
तुइलोमा तुसा सीइलीली लनिसेलोता लामेको
22%
स्युमाफ़ालेपोलु एपरिला वा तियाई
16%
औसेउगालेलेई उइटी लगावाले
15%
सिया फालेतोनी एलेक लातु
8%
फुआओलेमोलि फलाइला फाउसु एलन
7%
पटेआ टावेउवेउ तामालेतोआ आइपोवी पटेआ
7%
टावेउवेउ विली तुआतागालोआ फेतू 29%
तुइलोमा तुसा सीइलीली लनिसेलोता लामेको 22%
स्युमाफ़ालेपोलु एपरिला वा तियाई 16%
औसेउगालेलेई उइटी लगावाले 15%
नया
नया
18 सित, 2026
टावेउवेउ विली तुआतागालोआ फेतू
$0 वॉल्यूम
29%
तुइलोमा तुसा सीइलीली लनिसेलोता लामेको
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
स्युमाफ़ालेपोलु एपरिला वा तियाई
$0 वॉल्यूम
16%
औसेउगालेलेई उइटी लगावाले
$0 वॉल्यूम
15%
सिया फालेतोनी एलेक लातु
$0 वॉल्यूम
8%
फुआओलेमोलि फलाइला फाउसु एलन
$60 वॉल्यूम
7%
पटेआ टावेउवेउ तामालेतोआ आइपोवी पटेआ
$80 वॉल्यूम
7%
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili No.1 by-election in Samoa follows the Supreme Court’s March 2026 ruling voiding the prior FAST incumbent’s win on bribery charges, leaving the seat open under electoral law. Trader consensus reflects a wide-open field with numerous candidates from FAST, HRPP, and independent backgrounds, producing closely matched probabilities around the leading names and broad 50% pricing on others. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the timing of the writ for polling sustain the tight positioning, as no single contender has established a dominant path to victory. Scheduled nomination deadlines or early campaigning developments could shift sentiment by clarifying viable frontrunners.
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$140समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili No.1 by-election in Samoa follows the Supreme Court’s March 2026 ruling voiding the prior FAST incumbent’s win on bribery charges, leaving the seat open under electoral law. Trader consensus reflects a wide-open field with numerous candidates from FAST, HRPP, and independent backgrounds, producing closely matched probabilities around the leading names and broad 50% pricing on others. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the timing of the writ for polling sustain the tight positioning, as no single contender has established a dominant path to victory. Scheduled nomination deadlines or early campaigning developments could shift sentiment by clarifying viable frontrunners.
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
वॉल्यूम
$140समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Falealili No.1 by-election in Samoa follows the Supreme Court’s March 2026 ruling voiding the prior FAST incumbent’s win on bribery charges, leaving the seat open under electoral law. Trader consensus reflects a wide-open field with numerous candidates from FAST, HRPP, and independent backgrounds, producing closely matched probabilities around the leading names and broad 50% pricing on others. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the timing of the writ for polling sustain the tight positioning, as no single contender has established a dominant path to victory. Scheduled nomination deadlines or early campaigning developments could shift sentiment by clarifying viable frontrunners.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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