The Florida 7th Congressional District Republican primary on August 18 features incumbent Cory Mills facing challengers Ryan Elijah, Michael Johnson, and Sarah Ulrich in a contest shaped by recent polling and a single debate. A St. Pete Polls survey from early August showed Mills ahead at 28% with Elijah at 22% among likely voters, though the margin leaves room for late shifts among undecideds. The August 5 debate highlighted ethics questions and reports of a federal investigation directed at Mills, while he cited his Trump endorsement and record on immigration and foreign policy. With the vote days away, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over turnout, any final endorsements, and whether challengers can consolidate opposition to the incumbent in this low-information primary environment.