Anthropic’s rapid 2026 model cadence drives current trader sentiment on the highest Claude score achievable on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) by year-end. Frontier releases including Claude Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos Preview have already lifted published HLE results into the mid-50s percent range—with some configurations and tool-use variants reaching the low-to-mid 60s—placing Anthropic models ahead of GPT-5 variants and Gemini on independent leaderboards. Key factors include iterative gains from adaptive reasoning modes, higher effort settings, and agentic tooling that expand effective capability on this expert-level, multi-domain benchmark. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues, yet Anthropic’s documented benchmark jumps and ongoing internal scaling suggest room for additional lifts before December 31 resolution. Traders are watching for any late-year model drops or public HLE submissions that could push the ceiling higher.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$60,462 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
55%+
86%
60%+
56%
65%+
16%
70%+
9%
75%+
5%
$60,462 वॉल्यूम
55%+
$15,464 वॉल्यूम
86%
60%+
$24,077 वॉल्यूम
56%
65%+
$17,345 वॉल्यूम
16%
70%+
$2,555 वॉल्यूम
9%
75%+
$1,021 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s rapid 2026 model cadence drives current trader sentiment on the highest Claude score achievable on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) by year-end. Frontier releases including Claude Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos Preview have already lifted published HLE results into the mid-50s percent range—with some configurations and tool-use variants reaching the low-to-mid 60s—placing Anthropic models ahead of GPT-5 variants and Gemini on independent leaderboards. Key factors include iterative gains from adaptive reasoning modes, higher effort settings, and agentic tooling that expand effective capability on this expert-level, multi-domain benchmark. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues, yet Anthropic’s documented benchmark jumps and ongoing internal scaling suggest room for additional lifts before December 31 resolution. Traders are watching for any late-year model drops or public HLE submissions that could push the ceiling higher.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$60,462समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s rapid 2026 model cadence drives current trader sentiment on the highest Claude score achievable on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) by year-end. Frontier releases including Claude Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos Preview have already lifted published HLE results into the mid-50s percent range—with some configurations and tool-use variants reaching the low-to-mid 60s—placing Anthropic models ahead of GPT-5 variants and Gemini on independent leaderboards. Key factors include iterative gains from adaptive reasoning modes, higher effort settings, and agentic tooling that expand effective capability on this expert-level, multi-domain benchmark. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues, yet Anthropic’s documented benchmark jumps and ongoing internal scaling suggest room for additional lifts before December 31 resolution. Traders are watching for any late-year model drops or public HLE submissions that could push the ceiling higher.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$60,462समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid 2026 model cadence drives current trader sentiment on the highest Claude score achievable on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) by year-end. Frontier releases including Claude Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos Preview have already lifted published HLE results into the mid-50s percent range—with some configurations and tool-use variants reaching the low-to-mid 60s—placing Anthropic models ahead of GPT-5 variants and Gemini on independent leaderboards. Key factors include iterative gains from adaptive reasoning modes, higher effort settings, and agentic tooling that expand effective capability on this expert-level, multi-domain benchmark. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues, yet Anthropic’s documented benchmark jumps and ongoing internal scaling suggest room for additional lifts before December 31 resolution. Traders are watching for any late-year model drops or public HLE submissions that could push the ceiling higher.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या 2026 में 'ह्यूमैनिटीज़ लास्ट एग्जाम' में प्राप्त की गई सबसे अधिक स्कोर 60% या उससे अधिक होगी?
61%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में Humanity’s Last Exam में OpenAI मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त की गई सर्वोच्च स्कोर 50% या उससे अधिक होगी?
78%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में Humanity’s Last Exam पर किसी Meta मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त की गई सर्वोच्च स्कोर 55% या उससे अधिक होगी?
48%
हाँ
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