**Cooler air advection from the west is driving the market toward a 25–27°C peak on September 14.** Multiple numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF, GFS, and regional ensembles, show a transition from the recent heatwave (daily highs near 32–33°C on September 12–13) to a milder regime, with daytime maxima forecast near 25–26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds of 5–10 m/s. This pattern limits afternoon heating while keeping skies largely free of significant cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress temperatures further. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 26°C and 31.5% for 27°C, aligns with this narrow forecast spread; the slight edge to 26°C accounts for typical model bias toward slightly lower maxima in transitional flows. Resolution will depend on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations, with little time remaining for major shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 सितंबर को अंकारा में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 56%
27°C 32%
25°C 9%
28°C 3%
22°C या उससे कम
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
56%
27°C
32%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
26°C 56%
27°C 32%
25°C 9%
28°C 3%
22°C या उससे कम
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
56%
27°C
32%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Cooler air advection from the west is driving the market toward a 25–27°C peak on September 14.** Multiple numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF, GFS, and regional ensembles, show a transition from the recent heatwave (daily highs near 32–33°C on September 12–13) to a milder regime, with daytime maxima forecast near 25–26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds of 5–10 m/s. This pattern limits afternoon heating while keeping skies largely free of significant cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress temperatures further. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 26°C and 31.5% for 27°C, aligns with this narrow forecast spread; the slight edge to 26°C accounts for typical model bias toward slightly lower maxima in transitional flows. Resolution will depend on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations, with little time remaining for major shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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