Current forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and Weather Atlas place Austin's September 2 high near 99°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and no significant frontal passage expected. This consensus positions the 98-99°F bin as the leading market outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 96-97°F, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where daily highs average around 94°F but recent model runs show slight warming from persistent high pressure and elevated dew points. The 100-101°F tier at 24% captures upside risk from localized heating or minor forecast adjustments, while lower bins remain discounted absent any cooling trend in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of guidance around the upper 90s against the inherent 2-4°F uncertainty range in 24-48 hour temperature predictions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 सितंबर को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
2 सितंबर को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
98-99°F 43%
96-97°F 29%
100-101°F 24%
102-103°F 15%
नया
नया
2 सित, 2026
87°F या उससे कम
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
4%
106°F या उससे अधिक
2%
98-99°F 43%
96-97°F 29%
100-101°F 24%
102-103°F 15%
नया
नया
2 सित, 2026
87°F या उससे कम
$491 वॉल्यूम
<1%
88-89°F
$17 वॉल्यूम
<1%
90-91°F
$25 वॉल्यूम
2%
92-93°F
$26 वॉल्यूम
9%
94-95°F
$101 वॉल्यूम
7%
96-97°F
$13 वॉल्यूम
29%
98-99°F
$137 वॉल्यूम
43%
100-101°F
$27 वॉल्यूम
24%
102-103°F
$8 वॉल्यूम
15%
104-105°F
$15 वॉल्यूम
4%
106°F या उससे अधिक
$36 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and Weather Atlas place Austin's September 2 high near 99°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and no significant frontal passage expected. This consensus positions the 98-99°F bin as the leading market outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 96-97°F, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where daily highs average around 94°F but recent model runs show slight warming from persistent high pressure and elevated dew points. The 100-101°F tier at 24% captures upside risk from localized heating or minor forecast adjustments, while lower bins remain discounted absent any cooling trend in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of guidance around the upper 90s against the inherent 2-4°F uncertainty range in 24-48 hour temperature predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$896समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and Weather Atlas place Austin's September 2 high near 99°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and no significant frontal passage expected. This consensus positions the 98-99°F bin as the leading market outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 96-97°F, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where daily highs average around 94°F but recent model runs show slight warming from persistent high pressure and elevated dew points. The 100-101°F tier at 24% captures upside risk from localized heating or minor forecast adjustments, while lower bins remain discounted absent any cooling trend in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of guidance around the upper 90s against the inherent 2-4°F uncertainty range in 24-48 hour temperature predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$896समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and Weather Atlas place Austin's September 2 high near 99°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and no significant frontal passage expected. This consensus positions the 98-99°F bin as the leading market outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 96-97°F, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where daily highs average around 94°F but recent model runs show slight warming from persistent high pressure and elevated dew points. The 100-101°F tier at 24% captures upside risk from localized heating or minor forecast adjustments, while lower bins remain discounted absent any cooling trend in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of guidance around the upper 90s against the inherent 2-4°F uncertainty range in 24-48 hour temperature predictions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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