Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for August 26 amid persistent southerly flow, high humidity of 75-95%, and frequent showers with thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks. Recent model runs and regional observations show similar conditions suppressing temperatures near 30-31°C, consistent with the market's near-even split between those outcomes at 39% and 33% implied probability. Cloud cover, rainfall timing, and localized variations in insolation create the key uncertainty distinguishing the two leading resolutions, with any extended breaks in precipitation potentially allowing brief warming to 31°C while sustained storms favor 30°C. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations will refine the final reading before market settlement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया26 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 39%
31°C 33%
29°C 15%
32°C 13%
नया
$18,710 वॉल्यूम
नया
$18,710 वॉल्यूम
26 अग, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
15%
30°C
39%
31°C
33%
32°C
13%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 39%
31°C 33%
29°C 15%
32°C 13%
नया
$18,710 वॉल्यूम
नया
$18,710 वॉल्यूम
26 अग, 2026
24°C or below
$778 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$389 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$509 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$718 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$2,832 वॉल्यूम
3%
29°C
$4,317 वॉल्यूम
15%
30°C
$2,325 वॉल्यूम
39%
31°C
$1,919 वॉल्यूम
33%
32°C
$1,381 वॉल्यूम
13%
33°C
$2,730 वॉल्यूम
2%
34°C or higher
$811 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for August 26 amid persistent southerly flow, high humidity of 75-95%, and frequent showers with thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks. Recent model runs and regional observations show similar conditions suppressing temperatures near 30-31°C, consistent with the market's near-even split between those outcomes at 39% and 33% implied probability. Cloud cover, rainfall timing, and localized variations in insolation create the key uncertainty distinguishing the two leading resolutions, with any extended breaks in precipitation potentially allowing brief warming to 31°C while sustained storms favor 30°C. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations will refine the final reading before market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,710समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for August 26 amid persistent southerly flow, high humidity of 75-95%, and frequent showers with thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks. Recent model runs and regional observations show similar conditions suppressing temperatures near 30-31°C, consistent with the market's near-even split between those outcomes at 39% and 33% implied probability. Cloud cover, rainfall timing, and localized variations in insolation create the key uncertainty distinguishing the two leading resolutions, with any extended breaks in precipitation potentially allowing brief warming to 31°C while sustained storms favor 30°C. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations will refine the final reading before market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$18,710समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for August 26 amid persistent southerly flow, high humidity of 75-95%, and frequent showers with thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks. Recent model runs and regional observations show similar conditions suppressing temperatures near 30-31°C, consistent with the market's near-even split between those outcomes at 39% and 33% implied probability. Cloud cover, rainfall timing, and localized variations in insolation create the key uncertainty distinguishing the two leading resolutions, with any extended breaks in precipitation potentially allowing brief warming to 31°C while sustained storms favor 30°C. Updated HKO guidance and real-time observations will refine the final reading before market settlement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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