Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate highest temperatures in Paris on August 25 likely centered around 26–28°C, driving the tight market-implied odds favoring 27°C at 33%. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in high-pressure ridge positioning, which modulates subsidence and clear-sky radiation, alongside variable low-level moisture and light northerly flow that could cap daytime maxima. Ensemble spreads reflect typical late-summer variability, with urban heat-island effects potentially adding 1–2°C locally. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 33%
26°C 23%
28°C 18%
25°C 11%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
23%
27°C
33%
28°C
18%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 33%
26°C 23%
28°C 18%
25°C 11%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
23%
27°C
33%
28°C
18%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate highest temperatures in Paris on August 25 likely centered around 26–28°C, driving the tight market-implied odds favoring 27°C at 33%. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in high-pressure ridge positioning, which modulates subsidence and clear-sky radiation, alongside variable low-level moisture and light northerly flow that could cap daytime maxima. Ensemble spreads reflect typical late-summer variability, with urban heat-island effects potentially adding 1–2°C locally. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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