**Current forecast consensus from European models and agencies points to a daytime high of 23–25°C in Paris on August 23, driven by stable anticyclonic conditions and a northeasterly flow that limits warming.** Northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies are expected to keep maximum temperatures near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of ~24–25°C, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk preventing significant diurnal heating. Recent model runs show little spread, as a ridge of high pressure maintains subsidence and suppresses convective activity following cooler conditions on August 21–22. Traders have priced the narrow 23–25°C window most heavily because ensemble guidance and official outlooks (Météo-France analogs and ECMWF/GFS consensus) converge on this range, while the low probabilities assigned to 26°C+ or sub-22°C outcomes reflect the absence of heat advection or cold-air intrusions in the short-range guidance. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24°C 51%
23°C 23%
25°C 20%
22°C 5%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
23%
24°C
51%
25°C
20%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 51%
23°C 23%
25°C 20%
22°C 5%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
23%
24°C
51%
25°C
20%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecast consensus from European models and agencies points to a daytime high of 23–25°C in Paris on August 23, driven by stable anticyclonic conditions and a northeasterly flow that limits warming.** Northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies are expected to keep maximum temperatures near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of ~24–25°C, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk preventing significant diurnal heating. Recent model runs show little spread, as a ridge of high pressure maintains subsidence and suppresses convective activity following cooler conditions on August 21–22. Traders have priced the narrow 23–25°C window most heavily because ensemble guidance and official outlooks (Météo-France analogs and ECMWF/GFS consensus) converge on this range, while the low probabilities assigned to 26°C+ or sub-22°C outcomes reflect the absence of heat advection or cold-air intrusions in the short-range guidance. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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