Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate unsettled conditions over northern Italy on August 21, with thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating in Milan amid a post-heatwave pattern. This has shifted trader sentiment toward 23–24°C maxima (combined ~66% implied probability), below typical late-August climatology of 28–30°C, as convection and precipitation timing suppress peak temperatures. Key differentiating factors between these close outcomes include ensemble model spread on convective initiation, boundary-layer moisture, and CAPE values, which can alter surface maxima by 1°C through variations in solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Upcoming model runs from ECMWF and GFS will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
23°C 40%
24°C 30%
22°C 15%
25°C 10%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
15%
23°C
40%
24°C
30%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
4%
23°C 40%
24°C 30%
22°C 15%
25°C 10%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
16°C or below
$504 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$504 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$704 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$107 वॉल्यूम
1%
20°C
$34 वॉल्यूम
1%
21°C
$36 वॉल्यूम
5%
22°C
$106 वॉल्यूम
15%
23°C
$101 वॉल्यूम
40%
24°C
$73 वॉल्यूम
30%
25°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
10%
26°C or higher
$254 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate unsettled conditions over northern Italy on August 21, with thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating in Milan amid a post-heatwave pattern. This has shifted trader sentiment toward 23–24°C maxima (combined ~66% implied probability), below typical late-August climatology of 28–30°C, as convection and precipitation timing suppress peak temperatures. Key differentiating factors between these close outcomes include ensemble model spread on convective initiation, boundary-layer moisture, and CAPE values, which can alter surface maxima by 1°C through variations in solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Upcoming model runs from ECMWF and GFS will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,429समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate unsettled conditions over northern Italy on August 21, with thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating in Milan amid a post-heatwave pattern. This has shifted trader sentiment toward 23–24°C maxima (combined ~66% implied probability), below typical late-August climatology of 28–30°C, as convection and precipitation timing suppress peak temperatures. Key differentiating factors between these close outcomes include ensemble model spread on convective initiation, boundary-layer moisture, and CAPE values, which can alter surface maxima by 1°C through variations in solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Upcoming model runs from ECMWF and GFS will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,429समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate unsettled conditions over northern Italy on August 21, with thundery showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating in Milan amid a post-heatwave pattern. This has shifted trader sentiment toward 23–24°C maxima (combined ~66% implied probability), below typical late-August climatology of 28–30°C, as convection and precipitation timing suppress peak temperatures. Key differentiating factors between these close outcomes include ensemble model spread on convective initiation, boundary-layer moisture, and CAPE values, which can alter surface maxima by 1°C through variations in solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Upcoming model runs from ECMWF and GFS will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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