Recent forecast guidance from Roshydromet and ensemble models positions a 22–23°C high as the most probable outcome for Moscow on August 23, supported by mid-August climatology where average maxima fall near 22–24°C. Light southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and modest mixing limit insolation and urban heat-island effects, keeping temperatures close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 23°C because short-range model runs show limited day-to-day variability and no strong frontal passages expected before the measurement window closes. Updated model consensus and any last-minute adjustments to cloud or wind forecasts remain the key variables that could shift odds toward 24°C or hold them at 22°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अगस्त को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
23°C 50%
22°C 32%
24°C 16%
27°C or higher 9%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
4%
22°C
32%
23°C
50%
24°C
16%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
9%
23°C 50%
22°C 32%
24°C 16%
27°C or higher 9%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
4%
22°C
32%
23°C
50%
24°C
16%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Roshydromet and ensemble models positions a 22–23°C high as the most probable outcome for Moscow on August 23, supported by mid-August climatology where average maxima fall near 22–24°C. Light southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and modest mixing limit insolation and urban heat-island effects, keeping temperatures close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 23°C because short-range model runs show limited day-to-day variability and no strong frontal passages expected before the measurement window closes. Updated model consensus and any last-minute adjustments to cloud or wind forecasts remain the key variables that could shift odds toward 24°C or hold them at 22°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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