Recent forecasts for Wellington on August 21 align closely with near-average winter conditions, positioning 13–14°C as the most probable daily maximum under prevailing southwesterly flows and scattered cloud. NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are most likely for the Wellington region amid emerging El Niño patterns, while specific model guidance from Met Office and timeanddate.com projects highs of 13–14°C with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. Historical August maxima average 12–13°C, providing climatological context that reinforces the current consensus. Short-range model runs show limited variability, with any late intensification of high pressure or clearer skies offering the main pathway to the lower-probability 15°C outcome. Updated official guidance from MetService or NIWA remains the key near-term catalyst for shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14°C 57%
13°C 33%
15°C 9%
12°C 3%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
33%
14°C
57%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 57%
13°C 33%
15°C 9%
12°C 3%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
33%
14°C
57%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wellington on August 21 align closely with near-average winter conditions, positioning 13–14°C as the most probable daily maximum under prevailing southwesterly flows and scattered cloud. NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near-average temperatures are most likely for the Wellington region amid emerging El Niño patterns, while specific model guidance from Met Office and timeanddate.com projects highs of 13–14°C with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. Historical August maxima average 12–13°C, providing climatological context that reinforces the current consensus. Short-range model runs show limited variability, with any late intensification of high pressure or clearer skies offering the main pathway to the lower-probability 15°C outcome. Updated official guidance from MetService or NIWA remains the key near-term catalyst for shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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