Recent numerical weather model guidance, including from the UK Met Office, positions Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 44% implied probability. A seasonal cooling trend following hotter early-August conditions, combined with typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over central Spain, supports this narrow range, while climatological averages near 31°C explain residual probability on 29°C. Updated short-range forecasts show limited upside potential above 30°C and low likelihood of dipping to 26°C or below, with traders incorporating model consensus and uncertainty ranges typical of 48-hour outlooks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
25 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
28°C 44%
29°C 29%
27°C 19%
30°C 8%
नया
नया
25 अग, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
19%
28°C
44%
29°C
29%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 44%
29°C 29%
27°C 19%
30°C 8%
नया
नया
25 अग, 2026
24°C or below
$70 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
27°C
$32 वॉल्यूम
19%
28°C
$72 वॉल्यूम
44%
29°C
$87 वॉल्यूम
29%
30°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
8%
31°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
3%
32°C
$4 वॉल्यूम
3%
33°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
2%
34°C or higher
$30 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model guidance, including from the UK Met Office, positions Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 44% implied probability. A seasonal cooling trend following hotter early-August conditions, combined with typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over central Spain, supports this narrow range, while climatological averages near 31°C explain residual probability on 29°C. Updated short-range forecasts show limited upside potential above 30°C and low likelihood of dipping to 26°C or below, with traders incorporating model consensus and uncertainty ranges typical of 48-hour outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$336समाप्ति तिथि
25 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model guidance, including from the UK Met Office, positions Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 44% implied probability. A seasonal cooling trend following hotter early-August conditions, combined with typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over central Spain, supports this narrow range, while climatological averages near 31°C explain residual probability on 29°C. Updated short-range forecasts show limited upside potential above 30°C and low likelihood of dipping to 26°C or below, with traders incorporating model consensus and uncertainty ranges typical of 48-hour outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$336समाप्ति तिथि
25 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model guidance, including from the UK Met Office, positions Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 27–28°C, aligning with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 44% implied probability. A seasonal cooling trend following hotter early-August conditions, combined with typical late-summer atmospheric patterns over central Spain, supports this narrow range, while climatological averages near 31°C explain residual probability on 29°C. Updated short-range forecasts show limited upside potential above 30°C and low likelihood of dipping to 26°C or below, with traders incorporating model consensus and uncertainty ranges typical of 48-hour outlooks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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