Current forecast guidance points to a maximum temperature of 15°C in Wellington on August 23 as the most probable outcome, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for that level. Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature daytime highs near 12–14°C, but ensemble models and Met Office projections for the date indicate a mild northwest flow supporting 15–16°C peaks. NIWA’s June–August 2026 seasonal outlook assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with no strong El Niño-driven anomalies expected to shift the distribution. Recent polar air intrusions have kept early August cooler, yet the approaching pattern favors stabilization around these values, with limited upside beyond 16°C or downside below 14°C absent rapid model shifts before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
23 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 54%
16°C 34%
14°C 7%
17°C 6%
नया
नया
23 अग, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
7%
15°C
54%
16°C
34%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 54%
16°C 34%
14°C 7%
17°C 6%
नया
नया
23 अग, 2026
9°C or below
$560 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$424 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$365 वॉल्यूम
1%
12°C
$362 वॉल्यूम
1%
13°C
$428 वॉल्यूम
2%
14°C
$846 वॉल्यूम
7%
15°C
$1,019 वॉल्यूम
54%
16°C
$1,527 वॉल्यूम
34%
17°C
$634 वॉल्यूम
6%
18°C
$258 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C or higher
$454 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance points to a maximum temperature of 15°C in Wellington on August 23 as the most probable outcome, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for that level. Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature daytime highs near 12–14°C, but ensemble models and Met Office projections for the date indicate a mild northwest flow supporting 15–16°C peaks. NIWA’s June–August 2026 seasonal outlook assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with no strong El Niño-driven anomalies expected to shift the distribution. Recent polar air intrusions have kept early August cooler, yet the approaching pattern favors stabilization around these values, with limited upside beyond 16°C or downside below 14°C absent rapid model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,863समाप्ति तिथि
23 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance points to a maximum temperature of 15°C in Wellington on August 23 as the most probable outcome, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for that level. Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature daytime highs near 12–14°C, but ensemble models and Met Office projections for the date indicate a mild northwest flow supporting 15–16°C peaks. NIWA’s June–August 2026 seasonal outlook assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with no strong El Niño-driven anomalies expected to shift the distribution. Recent polar air intrusions have kept early August cooler, yet the approaching pattern favors stabilization around these values, with limited upside beyond 16°C or downside below 14°C absent rapid model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$6,863समाप्ति तिथि
23 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance points to a maximum temperature of 15°C in Wellington on August 23 as the most probable outcome, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for that level. Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature daytime highs near 12–14°C, but ensemble models and Met Office projections for the date indicate a mild northwest flow supporting 15–16°C peaks. NIWA’s June–August 2026 seasonal outlook assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with no strong El Niño-driven anomalies expected to shift the distribution. Recent polar air intrusions have kept early August cooler, yet the approaching pattern favors stabilization around these values, with limited upside beyond 16°C or downside below 14°C absent rapid model shifts before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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