Current short-term forecasts from MetService and international models indicate overnight lows of 10–12°C in Wellington on August 22, driven by a mix of northerly flows and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling under El Niño-influenced patterns. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 10°C (30.5%), 11°C (41.5%), and 12°C (29.5%), while colder outcomes like 8–9°C or 7°C or below reflect potential for clearer skies or stronger southerlies not yet dominant in guidance. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 6–9°C, providing context for the slight warming bias in current runs; updated model consensus ahead of the overnight period will determine final resolution thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
22 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
11°C 60%
10°C 30%
12°C 28%
8°C 27%
नया
नया
22 अग, 2026
7°C or below
22%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
30%
11°C
42%
12°C
28%
13°C
27%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
1%
11°C 60%
10°C 30%
12°C 28%
8°C 27%
नया
नया
22 अग, 2026
7°C or below
$68 वॉल्यूम
22%
8°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
9°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
10°C
$1 वॉल्यूम
30%
11°C
$32 वॉल्यूम
42%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
14°C
$199 वॉल्यूम
4%
15°C
$71 वॉल्यूम
1%
16°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C or higher
$73 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from MetService and international models indicate overnight lows of 10–12°C in Wellington on August 22, driven by a mix of northerly flows and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling under El Niño-influenced patterns. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 10°C (30.5%), 11°C (41.5%), and 12°C (29.5%), while colder outcomes like 8–9°C or 7°C or below reflect potential for clearer skies or stronger southerlies not yet dominant in guidance. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 6–9°C, providing context for the slight warming bias in current runs; updated model consensus ahead of the overnight period will determine final resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$463समाप्ति तिथि
22 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from MetService and international models indicate overnight lows of 10–12°C in Wellington on August 22, driven by a mix of northerly flows and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling under El Niño-influenced patterns. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 10°C (30.5%), 11°C (41.5%), and 12°C (29.5%), while colder outcomes like 8–9°C or 7°C or below reflect potential for clearer skies or stronger southerlies not yet dominant in guidance. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 6–9°C, providing context for the slight warming bias in current runs; updated model consensus ahead of the overnight period will determine final resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$463समाप्ति तिथि
22 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from MetService and international models indicate overnight lows of 10–12°C in Wellington on August 22, driven by a mix of northerly flows and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling under El Niño-influenced patterns. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 10°C (30.5%), 11°C (41.5%), and 12°C (29.5%), while colder outcomes like 8–9°C or 7°C or below reflect potential for clearer skies or stronger southerlies not yet dominant in guidance. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 6–9°C, providing context for the slight warming bias in current runs; updated model consensus ahead of the overnight period will determine final resolution thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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