Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models indicate a highest temperature on August 25 most likely near 31°C, with 32°C remaining plausible under clearer intervals. A nearby severe tropical storm is enhancing cloud cover and showers across the region, limiting surface heating and keeping maxima close to or slightly below late-August climatology of 31–33°C. High humidity and southeasterly flow further moderate peak readings, while any temporary clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32–33°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical daily maximum distributions, producing the tight 31°C versus 32°C spread ahead of tomorrow’s official verification.