Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a northwest airflow advecting cooler maritime air into central Russia, with Moscow expected to see mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and limited solar heating on August 26. Model consensus points to daytime maxima near 16–18 °C under these conditions, consistent with the market’s concentration of implied probability on those bins and below the long-term August 26 average high of approximately 21 °C. Persistent cloud cover and light northwesterly winds are suppressing the usual late-summer warming, while overnight lows around 11–13 °C further constrain the daily range. Updated short-range guidance released in the past 24–48 hours has reinforced this cooler regime, with only modest uncertainty remaining around exact cloud breaks that could allow a brief push toward 18–19 °C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया26 अगस्त को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17°C 45%
16°C 29%
18°C 14%
15°C 11%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
11%
16°C
29%
17°C
45%
18°C
14%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 45%
16°C 29%
18°C 14%
15°C 11%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
11%
16°C
29%
17°C
45%
18°C
14%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a northwest airflow advecting cooler maritime air into central Russia, with Moscow expected to see mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and limited solar heating on August 26. Model consensus points to daytime maxima near 16–18 °C under these conditions, consistent with the market’s concentration of implied probability on those bins and below the long-term August 26 average high of approximately 21 °C. Persistent cloud cover and light northwesterly winds are suppressing the usual late-summer warming, while overnight lows around 11–13 °C further constrain the daily range. Updated short-range guidance released in the past 24–48 hours has reinforced this cooler regime, with only modest uncertainty remaining around exact cloud breaks that could allow a brief push toward 18–19 °C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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