Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 26 will likely fall between 11–13°C, driven by northwesterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average lows near 11.6°C and historical extremes rarely dip below 8°C this early in the season. Numerical weather prediction consensus, including GFS guidance, shows minimal model spread around these values, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (47.5% for 12°C, 29% for 11°C) to outcomes matching the expected minimum. Minor uncertainty stems from variable cloud breaks or localized wind effects that could nudge the reading slightly lower or higher, though current data favor the 11–12°C cluster over extremes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया26 अगस्त को मॉस्को में सबसे कम तापमान?
26 अगस्त को मॉस्को में सबसे कम तापमान?
12°C 48%
11°C 30%
10°C 27%
13°C 27%
नया
नया
26 अग, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
30%
12°C
48%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 48%
11°C 30%
10°C 27%
13°C 27%
नया
नया
26 अग, 2026
7°C or below
$5 वॉल्यूम
1%
8°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
1%
9°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
10°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
11°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
30%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
48%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
16°C
$230 वॉल्यूम
1%
17°C or higher
$135 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 26 will likely fall between 11–13°C, driven by northwesterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average lows near 11.6°C and historical extremes rarely dip below 8°C this early in the season. Numerical weather prediction consensus, including GFS guidance, shows minimal model spread around these values, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (47.5% for 12°C, 29% for 11°C) to outcomes matching the expected minimum. Minor uncertainty stems from variable cloud breaks or localized wind effects that could nudge the reading slightly lower or higher, though current data favor the 11–12°C cluster over extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$375समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 26 will likely fall between 11–13°C, driven by northwesterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average lows near 11.6°C and historical extremes rarely dip below 8°C this early in the season. Numerical weather prediction consensus, including GFS guidance, shows minimal model spread around these values, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (47.5% for 12°C, 29% for 11°C) to outcomes matching the expected minimum. Minor uncertainty stems from variable cloud breaks or localized wind effects that could nudge the reading slightly lower or higher, though current data favor the 11–12°C cluster over extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$375समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 26 will likely fall between 11–13°C, driven by northwesterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average lows near 11.6°C and historical extremes rarely dip below 8°C this early in the season. Numerical weather prediction consensus, including GFS guidance, shows minimal model spread around these values, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (47.5% for 12°C, 29% for 11°C) to outcomes matching the expected minimum. Minor uncertainty stems from variable cloud breaks or localized wind effects that could nudge the reading slightly lower or higher, though current data favor the 11–12°C cluster over extremes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न