Heavy rainfall and thunderstorm activity forecast for Guangzhou on August 26 are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–32°C. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and southeasterly flow limit daytime heating and solar insolation, typical for late-summer monsoon influences in the Pearl River Delta. Ensemble guidance shows model spread on exact rain timing and intensity, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on whether breaks allow brief clearing. With resolution hinging on official station readings, traders weigh the balance between climatological August averages near 33°C and the cooling effect of widespread convection expected through the period. Updated model runs and local agency guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया26 अगस्त को गुआंगज़ौ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 31%
32°C 25%
30°C 18%
33°C 16%
25°C या इससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
18%
31°C
31%
32°C
25%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C या उससे अधिक
1%
31°C 31%
32°C 25%
30°C 18%
33°C 16%
25°C या इससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
18%
31°C
31%
32°C
25%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Heavy rainfall and thunderstorm activity forecast for Guangzhou on August 26 are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–32°C. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and southeasterly flow limit daytime heating and solar insolation, typical for late-summer monsoon influences in the Pearl River Delta. Ensemble guidance shows model spread on exact rain timing and intensity, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on whether breaks allow brief clearing. With resolution hinging on official station readings, traders weigh the balance between climatological August averages near 33°C and the cooling effect of widespread convection expected through the period. Updated model runs and local agency guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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