Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Manila on August 26, reflecting the influence of the southwest monsoon and typical late-August conditions in the western Pacific. Persistent cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, combined with high humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorms, limits radiative heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal average. Current forecast guidance shows no immediate tropical cyclone threats or significant wind shifts that would alter this pattern, while sea-surface temperatures remain supportive of standard heat buildup. Historical climatology places Manila’s August highs around 31°C, with day-to-day variability driven mainly by local convection and brief clear spells. Updated model runs and observations through early August 26 will refine the final reading.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया26 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 40%
31°C 27%
33°C 19%
30°C 9%
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
27%
32°C
40%
33°C
19%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
32°C 40%
31°C 27%
33°C 19%
30°C 9%
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
27%
32°C
40%
33°C
19%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Manila on August 26, reflecting the influence of the southwest monsoon and typical late-August conditions in the western Pacific. Persistent cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, combined with high humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorms, limits radiative heating and caps daytime maxima near the seasonal average. Current forecast guidance shows no immediate tropical cyclone threats or significant wind shifts that would alter this pattern, while sea-surface temperatures remain supportive of standard heat buildup. Historical climatology places Manila’s August highs around 31°C, with day-to-day variability driven mainly by local convection and brief clear spells. Updated model runs and observations through early August 26 will refine the final reading.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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