**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 10 project a daily maximum of 31°C under northeast monsoon flow, with northeast winds at force 4 (occasionally 5 offshore), sunny periods, and only isolated morning/evening showers keeping daytime conditions dry.** This aligns with recent regional highs near 31–32°C and supports the market’s tight clustering between 30°C (37.5%) and 31°C (40%). Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and shower timing, which can suppress peak surface heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind strength. Historical September maxima in the region average near 30–31°C, so traders are pricing the narrow range where modest deviations in insolation or convective activity could shift the outcome between the two leading probabilities. Updated model runs and HKO briefings will provide the next resolution signals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 सितंबर को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 40%
30°C 38%
32°C 14%
29°C 10%
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
38%
31°C
40%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C या अधिक
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 38%
32°C 14%
29°C 10%
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
38%
31°C
40%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 10 project a daily maximum of 31°C under northeast monsoon flow, with northeast winds at force 4 (occasionally 5 offshore), sunny periods, and only isolated morning/evening showers keeping daytime conditions dry.** This aligns with recent regional highs near 31–32°C and supports the market’s tight clustering between 30°C (37.5%) and 31°C (40%). Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and shower timing, which can suppress peak surface heating by 1–2°C, alongside model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind strength. Historical September maxima in the region average near 30–31°C, so traders are pricing the narrow range where modest deviations in insolation or convective activity could shift the outcome between the two leading probabilities. Updated model runs and HKO briefings will provide the next resolution signals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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