Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF point to a peak of 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 11 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit mixing and cloud cover. This setup aligns with typical early-September conditions but carries standard model spread of 1–2°C near the daily maximum. Trader consensus, however, assigns the highest implied probability (52.5%) to 25°C, with 26°C and 24°C also heavily backed, reflecting caution over exact station measurement, potential slight cooling from wind shifts, or last-minute model adjustments before the 48-hour window closes. Updated runs and official briefings in the next day will likely tighten the range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया11 सितंबर को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
25°C 53%
26°C 25%
24°C 22%
23°C 10%
21°C या उससे कम
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
10%
24°C
22%
25°C
53%
26°C
25%
27°C
9%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C या उससे अधिक
4%
25°C 53%
26°C 25%
24°C 22%
23°C 10%
21°C या उससे कम
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
10%
24°C
22%
25°C
53%
26°C
25%
27°C
9%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C या उससे अधिक
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF point to a peak of 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 11 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly winds that limit mixing and cloud cover. This setup aligns with typical early-September conditions but carries standard model spread of 1–2°C near the daily maximum. Trader consensus, however, assigns the highest implied probability (52.5%) to 25°C, with 26°C and 24°C also heavily backed, reflecting caution over exact station measurement, potential slight cooling from wind shifts, or last-minute model adjustments before the 48-hour window closes. Updated runs and official briefings in the next day will likely tighten the range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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