Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 48 hours, indicate stable high pressure and moderate northeast winds over Istanbul that support daytime highs near 26–28°C on September 10. These conditions favor partly cloudy skies with limited moisture, consistent with climatological norms for early September when average maxima reach about 26°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 44% implied probability for 25°C and 27.5% for 26°C appears driven by the range of ensemble members showing modest variability from cloud timing or localized wind effects, while lower probabilities assigned to 27°C or higher acknowledge the potential for slightly stronger warming under clearer conditions. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak value ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 सितंबर को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
25°C 44%
26°C 28%
24°C 22%
23°C 7%
22°C या उससे कम
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
22%
25°C
44%
26°C
28%
27°C
7%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C या उससे अधिक
4%
25°C 44%
26°C 28%
24°C 22%
23°C 7%
22°C या उससे कम
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
22%
25°C
44%
26°C
28%
27°C
7%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C या उससे अधिक
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 48 hours, indicate stable high pressure and moderate northeast winds over Istanbul that support daytime highs near 26–28°C on September 10. These conditions favor partly cloudy skies with limited moisture, consistent with climatological norms for early September when average maxima reach about 26°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 44% implied probability for 25°C and 27.5% for 26°C appears driven by the range of ensemble members showing modest variability from cloud timing or localized wind effects, while lower probabilities assigned to 27°C or higher acknowledge the potential for slightly stronger warming under clearer conditions. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak value ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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