Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Austin on September 10 point to a high in the upper 90s, with most guidance clustered near 98°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge, light southerly flow, and above-normal moisture that supports heat indices near 108°F. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 43.5% implied probability, as recent model runs show limited cooling compared to the prior hot spell of 99-101°F days. Historical averages near 92°F underscore the anomaly, though scattered afternoon clouds or brief showers could trim peak readings by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for last-minute forecast adjustments before resolution, with any strengthening onshore flow or model shift toward 96-97°F or 100°F+ representing the main variables that could reprice outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 सितंबर को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
10 सितंबर को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
98-99°F 44%
100-101°F 28%
102-103°F 20%
94-95°F 19%
नया
नया
10 सित, 2026
89°F या उससे कम
5%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
44%
100-101°F
28%
102-103°F
20%
104-105°F
17%
106-107°F
10%
108°F या उससे अधिक
5%
98-99°F 44%
100-101°F 28%
102-103°F 20%
94-95°F 19%
नया
नया
10 सित, 2026
89°F या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
90-91°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
92-93°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
16%
94-95°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
96-97°F
$2,612 वॉल्यूम
12%
98-99°F
$107 वॉल्यूम
44%
100-101°F
$5 वॉल्यूम
28%
102-103°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
20%
104-105°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
17%
106-107°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
10%
108°F या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Austin on September 10 point to a high in the upper 90s, with most guidance clustered near 98°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge, light southerly flow, and above-normal moisture that supports heat indices near 108°F. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 43.5% implied probability, as recent model runs show limited cooling compared to the prior hot spell of 99-101°F days. Historical averages near 92°F underscore the anomaly, though scattered afternoon clouds or brief showers could trim peak readings by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for last-minute forecast adjustments before resolution, with any strengthening onshore flow or model shift toward 96-97°F or 100°F+ representing the main variables that could reprice outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,682समाप्ति तिथि
10 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Austin on September 10 point to a high in the upper 90s, with most guidance clustered near 98°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge, light southerly flow, and above-normal moisture that supports heat indices near 108°F. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 43.5% implied probability, as recent model runs show limited cooling compared to the prior hot spell of 99-101°F days. Historical averages near 92°F underscore the anomaly, though scattered afternoon clouds or brief showers could trim peak readings by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for last-minute forecast adjustments before resolution, with any strengthening onshore flow or model shift toward 96-97°F or 100°F+ representing the main variables that could reprice outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,682समाप्ति तिथि
10 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Austin on September 10 point to a high in the upper 90s, with most guidance clustered near 98°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge, light southerly flow, and above-normal moisture that supports heat indices near 108°F. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 43.5% implied probability, as recent model runs show limited cooling compared to the prior hot spell of 99-101°F days. Historical averages near 92°F underscore the anomaly, though scattered afternoon clouds or brief showers could trim peak readings by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for last-minute forecast adjustments before resolution, with any strengthening onshore flow or model shift toward 96-97°F or 100°F+ representing the main variables that could reprice outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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