Current short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance supports peak temperatures of 31–33 °C on 8 September, with 32 °C holding the highest market-implied probability. Subtropical ridge influence and light easterly flow favor modest diurnal heating, while scattered showers and increasing low-level moisture from an approaching South China Sea trough limit extreme warming. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing during the transition toward northeast monsoon conditions. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and 12–18 UTC model runs expected over the next 48 hours will narrow the 31–33 °C window ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया8 सितंबर को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 37%
33°C 32%
31°C 15%
34°C 11%
27°C या उससे कम
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
37%
33°C
32%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
32°C 37%
33°C 32%
31°C 15%
34°C 11%
27°C या उससे कम
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
37%
33°C
32%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional guidance supports peak temperatures of 31–33 °C on 8 September, with 32 °C holding the highest market-implied probability. Subtropical ridge influence and light easterly flow favor modest diurnal heating, while scattered showers and increasing low-level moisture from an approaching South China Sea trough limit extreme warming. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing during the transition toward northeast monsoon conditions. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and 12–18 UTC model runs expected over the next 48 hours will narrow the 31–33 °C window ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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