**Cloud cover and convective showers from the ongoing rainy season are the main factors keeping Mexico City’s September 8 high-temperature odds tightly clustered between 21–24 °C.** At 2,240 m elevation, daytime maxima are strongly modulated by insolation and moisture; widespread cloudiness reduces surface heating while scattered convection triggers evaporative cooling and brief rain, typically peaking in the afternoon. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble guidance (ECMWF/GFS) indicate persistent mid-level moisture and light southerly flow, supporting highs near the long-term early-September mean of ~22–23 °C. The equal 25 % probabilities on 21–24 °C reflect model spread in exact timing and intensity of showers—stronger or earlier convection would cap the peak closer to 21 °C, while partial clearing could allow brief warming toward 24 °C. Lower probabilities on 25 °C+ or sub-20 °C outcomes align with the low historical likelihood of extreme deviations under these conditions. Updated model runs and official bulletins through September 7 will be the next key inputs for traders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया8 सितंबर को मैक्सिको सिटी में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24°C 43%
23°C 25%
22°C 21%
21°C 15%
15°C या कम
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
15%
22°C
21%
23°C
25%
24°C
43%
25°C या अधिक
-
24°C 43%
23°C 25%
22°C 21%
21°C 15%
15°C या कम
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
15%
22°C
21%
23°C
25%
24°C
43%
25°C या अधिक
-
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover and convective showers from the ongoing rainy season are the main factors keeping Mexico City’s September 8 high-temperature odds tightly clustered between 21–24 °C.** At 2,240 m elevation, daytime maxima are strongly modulated by insolation and moisture; widespread cloudiness reduces surface heating while scattered convection triggers evaporative cooling and brief rain, typically peaking in the afternoon. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble guidance (ECMWF/GFS) indicate persistent mid-level moisture and light southerly flow, supporting highs near the long-term early-September mean of ~22–23 °C. The equal 25 % probabilities on 21–24 °C reflect model spread in exact timing and intensity of showers—stronger or earlier convection would cap the peak closer to 21 °C, while partial clearing could allow brief warming toward 24 °C. Lower probabilities on 25 °C+ or sub-20 °C outcomes align with the low historical likelihood of extreme deviations under these conditions. Updated model runs and official bulletins through September 7 will be the next key inputs for traders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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